Points
35Points expected by the market
44.85Gap
−9.85Yield
−19.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +94.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 25 | −7.51 | −36.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −3.63 | +7.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.29 | +94.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 19 | −1.21 | −14.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 0 | −3.19 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 6 | −6.30 | −70.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 7 | −0.43 | +42.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | FC Tokyo · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.38 |
| M2 | Okayama · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +0.08 |
| M3 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Away26 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.10 |
| M4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.05 |
| M5 | Machida · Home8 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.14 |
| M6 | Cerezo Osaka · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −0.53 |
| M7 | Nagoya Grampus · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | −1.79 |
| M8 | Vissel Kobe · Home2 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.88 |
| M9 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.20 |
| M10 | Albirex Niigata · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.18 | −1.38 |
| M11 | Gamba Osaka · Home20 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −1.66 |
| M12 | Kyoto · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.84 |
| M13 | Kashima Antlers · Home29 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −4.34 |
| M14 | Verdy · Away6 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −5.73 |
| M15 | Avispa Fukuoka · Home10 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −4.07 |
| M16 | Kawasaki Frontale · Away14 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −4.94 |
| M17 | Shonan Bellmare · Away17 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −3.22 |
| M18 | Kashiwa Reysol · Home25 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −3.35 |
| M19 | Urawa Reds · Away1 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −4.40 |
| M20 | Kawasaki Frontale · Home14 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −5.57 |
| M21 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home22 Jun 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −6.58 |
| M22 | FC Tokyo · Away28 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −7.72 |
| M23 | Yokohama F. Marinos · Home5 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −9.22 |
| M24 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away20 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −10.43 |
| M25 | Urawa Reds · Home9 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −11.61 |
| M26 | Vissel Kobe · Away16 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.45 | −9.16 |
| M27 | Gamba Osaka · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | −10.15 |
| M28 | Verdy · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | −10.44 |
| M29 | Machida · Away12 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | −10.08 |
| M30 | Albirex Niigata · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −8.63 |
| M31 | Okayama · Away23 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −8.87 |
| M32 | Shonan Bellmare · Home28 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −7.58 |
| M33 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −8.81 |
| M34 | Nagoya Grampus · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | −9.34 |
| M35 | Kashiwa Reysol · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −10.09 |
| M36 | Kashima Antlers · Away8 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −10.89 |
| M37 | Kyoto · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −12.01 |
| M38 | Cerezo Osaka · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.16 | −9.85 |
| Total | 35 | −9.85 | |||