Points
10Points expected by the market
13.67Gap
−3.67Yield
−54.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.71 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.81 | −16.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 1 | −2.77 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.52 | +131.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.71 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −0.71 | −46.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.83 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Urawa Reds · Home7 Aug 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.52 | +1.52 |
| M2 | Mito · Away15 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +1.20 |
| M3 | Nagoya Grampus · Away22 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.28 | −0.08 |
| M4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home29 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | +0.04 |
| M5 | V-Varen Nagasaki · Away2 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.38 |
| M6 | Chiba · Away6 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.71 | −2.09 |
| M7 | FC Tokyo · Home12 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | −3.09 |
| M8 | Vissel Kobe · Home20 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.06 | −4.15 |
| M9 | Kashima Antlers · Away9 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.98 |
| M10 | Shimizu S-Pulse · Away17 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −5.35 |
| M11 | Avispa Fukuoka · Away21 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −3.67 |
| Total | 10 | −3.67 | |||