← J1 League 2026-27

V-Varen Nagasaki

Season 2026-27 · 11 matches played

Last 5WDDLW

Points

12

Points expected by the market

10.29

Gap

+1.71

Yield

+21.5%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M2M3M4M5M6M7M8M9M10M11

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 0 — — — —
Even 2.20 – 3.49 5 9 6.07 +2.93 +31.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 6 3 4.22 −1.22 +13.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Kyoto · Home9 Aug 2026 9 Aug 2026 W 2-1 3.27 1.14 3 +1.86 +1.86 +€2.27
M2 Okayama · Away15 Aug 2026 15 Aug 2026 L 0-1 5.35 0.77 0 −0.77 +1.09 −€1.00
M3 Kashiwa Reysol · Away21 Aug 2026 21 Aug 2026 L 2-4 6.30 0.65 0 −0.65 +0.44 −€1.00
M4 FC Tokyo · Home29 Aug 2026 29 Aug 2026 L 0-3 5.48 0.74 0 −0.74 −0.30 −€1.00
M5 Gamba Osaka · Home2 Sep 2026 2 Sep 2026 D 2-2 2.77 1.29 1 −0.29 −0.59 −€1.00
M6 Vissel Kobe · Away6 Sep 2026 6 Sep 2026 L 1-3 5.35 0.76 0 −0.76 −1.35 −€1.00
M7 Nagoya Grampus · Home12 Sep 2026 12 Sep 2026 W 2-0 3.30 1.10 3 +1.90 +0.55 +€2.30
M8 Cerezo Osaka · Home19 Sep 2026 19 Sep 2026 D 1-1 2.93 1.22 1 −0.22 +0.33 −€1.00
M9 Chiba · Away11 Oct 2026 11 Oct 2026 D 1-1 2.66 1.33 1 −0.33 0.00 −€1.00
M10 Kashima Antlers · Away17 Oct 2026 17 Oct 2026 L 0-2 5.88 0.69 0 −0.69 −0.69 −€1.00
M11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Home21 Oct 2026 21 Oct 2026 W 4-0 6.80 0.60 3 +2.40 +1.71 +€5.80
Total 10.29 12 +1.71 +€2.37