← Premier Division 2020

Derry City

Season 2020 · 18 matches played

Last 5WLWLD

Points

Points expected by the market

26.04

Gap

−6.04

Yield

−30.9%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.21	−1.21	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	11	12.71	−1.71	−21.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	5	5	7.10	−2.10	−54.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	3	4.02	−1.02	−7.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	1	2.21	−1.21	−100.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	9	7.38	+1.62	+38.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	4	4.03	−0.03	−24.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	0.76	−0.76	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	2	5.33	−3.33	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	2	1	3.07	−2.07	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	3	3.27	−0.27	+16.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Dundalk · Away14 Feb 2020	14 Feb 2020	L 0-1	6.34	0.67	0	−0.67	−0.67	−€1.00
M2	Finn Harps · Home21 Feb 2020	21 Feb 2020	D 1-1	1.40	2.21	1	−1.21	−1.89	−€1.00
M3	Bohemians · Home28 Feb 2020	28 Feb 2020	W 2-0	2.27	1.53	3	+1.47	−0.42	+€1.27
M4	Waterford · Away6 Mar 2020	6 Mar 2020	L 1-2	1.95	1.71	0	−1.71	−2.13	−€1.00
M5	Sligo Rovers · Home31 Jul 2020	31 Jul 2020	L 0-2	1.64	1.96	0	−1.96	−4.08	−€1.00
M6	St. Patricks · Away3 Aug 2020	3 Aug 2020	W 2-0	4.65	0.89	3	+2.11	−1.98	+€3.65
M7	Shamrock Rovers · Home9 Aug 2020	9 Aug 2020	L 1-2	5.64	0.76	0	−0.76	−2.73	−€1.00
M8	Shelbourne · Away15 Aug 2020	15 Aug 2020	D 1-1	2.31	1.53	1	−0.53	−3.26	−€1.00
M9	Cork City · Home21 Aug 2020	21 Aug 2020	W 3-1	1.82	1.82	3	+1.18	−2.08	+€0.82
M10	Finn Harps · Away13 Sep 2020	13 Sep 2020	D 0-0	2.19	1.59	1	−0.59	−2.66	−€1.00
M11	St. Patricks · Home18 Sep 2020	18 Sep 2020	D 0-0	2.80	1.32	1	−0.32	−2.98	−€1.00
M12	Bohemians · Away25 Sep 2020	25 Sep 2020	L 1-2	4.55	0.89	0	−0.89	−3.87	−€1.00
M13	Sligo Rovers · Away29 Sep 2020	29 Sep 2020	L 0-1	2.28	1.54	0	−1.54	−5.41	−€1.00
M14	Waterford · Home2 Oct 2020	2 Oct 2020	W 2-0	1.98	1.71	3	+1.29	−4.12	+€0.98
M15	Dundalk · Home19 Oct 2020	19 Oct 2020	L 1-2	3.19	1.18	0	−1.18	−5.30	−€1.00
M16	Shelbourne · Home23 Oct 2020	23 Oct 2020	W 2-0	1.72	1.90	3	+1.10	−4.20	+€0.72
M17	Shamrock Rovers · Away7 Nov 2020	7 Nov 2020	L 0-2	5.02	0.81	0	−0.81	−5.01	−€1.00
M18	Cork City · Away9 Nov 2020	9 Nov 2020	D 1-1	1.57	2.03	1	−1.03	−6.04	−€1.00
Total					26.04	20	−6.04		−€5.56