Points
32Points expected by the market
41.58Gap
−9.58Yield
−35.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.40 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.59 | −22.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | +0.13 | +3.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 6 | −7.71 | −65.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.40 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.40 | −22.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.13 | +2.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.87 | +54.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.99 | −23.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +1.25 | +8.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 2 | −8.59 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bohemians · Home17 Feb 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.29 |
| M2 | Derry City · Away24 Feb 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.83 |
| M3 | UC Dublin · Home3 Mar 2023 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.97 | −0.85 |
| M4 | Shamrock Rovers · Away6 Mar 2023 | D 4-4 | 1 | +0.39 | −0.46 |
| M5 | Sligo Rovers · Away11 Mar 2023 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.61 |
| M6 | Shelbourne · Home17 Mar 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.89 |
| M7 | Drogheda · Home31 Mar 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −2.47 |
| M8 | St. Patricks · Away7 Apr 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −3.23 |
| M9 | Dundalk · Home10 Apr 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.47 | −1.76 |
| M10 | UC Dublin · Away14 Apr 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.93 | −3.69 |
| M11 | Derry City · Home21 Apr 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −4.61 |
| M12 | Shelbourne · Away28 Apr 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −5.66 |
| M13 | Bohemians · Away1 May 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.82 | −6.48 |
| M14 | St. Patricks · Home5 May 2023 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −7.68 |
| M15 | Dundalk · Away12 May 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −8.62 |
| M16 | Sligo Rovers · Home19 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | −6.75 |
| M17 | Shamrock Rovers · Home26 May 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.33 | −4.42 |
| M18 | Drogheda · Away2 Jun 2023 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −2.56 |
| M19 | Bohemians · Home5 Jun 2023 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.81 | −0.75 |
| M20 | Dundalk · Home9 Jun 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −2.11 |
| M21 | Derry City · Away23 Jun 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −2.77 |
| M22 | Drogheda · Home30 Jun 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −3.24 |
| M23 | St. Patricks · Away7 Jul 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | −2.84 |
| M24 | Sligo Rovers · Away15 Jul 2023 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.87 |
| M25 | Shelbourne · Home28 Jul 2023 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −5.06 |
| M26 | Shamrock Rovers · Away6 Aug 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −5.52 |
| M27 | UC Dublin · Home11 Aug 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.40 | −6.92 |
| M28 | Drogheda · Away25 Aug 2023 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −7.98 |
| M29 | Sligo Rovers · Home1 Sep 2023 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.59 | −6.38 |
| M30 | Shelbourne · Away22 Sep 2023 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −7.17 |
| M31 | Dundalk · Away25 Sep 2023 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.93 | −8.11 |
| M32 | St. Patricks · Home29 Sep 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −9.19 |
| M33 | UC Dublin · Away22 Oct 2023 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | −8.26 |
| M34 | Derry City · Home27 Oct 2023 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −8.96 |
| M35 | Shamrock Rovers · Home30 Oct 2023 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | −8.78 |
| M36 | Bohemians · Away3 Nov 2023 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.34 | −9.12 |
| M37 | Waterford · Away10 Nov 2023 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −9.58 |
| Total | 32 | −9.58 | |||