Points
45Points expected by the market
39.91Gap
+5.09Yield
+13.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.97 | +99.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 25 | +4.30 | +22.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 11 | −3.19 | −10.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 9 | +3.97 | +99.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +1.92 | +8.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.66 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.38 | +46.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 10 | +0.47 | +27.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Shelbourne · Home16 Feb 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −0.08 |
| M2 | Drogheda · Away23 Feb 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.57 |
| M3 | Galway · Away1 Mar 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +0.61 |
| M4 | St. Patricks · Home4 Mar 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.85 | +2.46 |
| M5 | Derry City · Away8 Mar 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.67 | +1.79 |
| M6 | Dundalk · Away15 Mar 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +1.64 |
| M7 | Sligo Rovers · Home29 Mar 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | +0.20 |
| M8 | Shamrock Rovers · Home1 Apr 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.55 |
| M9 | Bohemians · Away5 Apr 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.46 |
| M10 | Galway · Home12 Apr 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.24 |
| M11 | St. Patricks · Away19 Apr 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +1.33 |
| M12 | Derry City · Home26 Apr 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.38 |
| M13 | Sligo Rovers · Away3 May 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.23 |
| M14 | Shamrock Rovers · Away6 May 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.42 | +4.65 |
| M15 | Dundalk · Home10 May 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +6.13 |
| M16 | Shelbourne · Away17 May 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +5.24 |
| M17 | Drogheda · Home23 May 2024 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.43 | +6.67 |
| M18 | Bohemians · Home31 May 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +8.31 |
| M19 | Derry City · Away3 Jun 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.67 | +7.64 |
| M20 | Sligo Rovers · Home7 Jun 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +8.91 |
| M21 | Shelbourne · Home13 Jun 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +7.69 |
| M22 | Dundalk · Away28 Jun 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +9.43 |
| M23 | St. Patricks · Home4 Jul 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +11.10 |
| M24 | Galway · Away12 Jul 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | +10.12 |
| M25 | Drogheda · Away26 Jul 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +8.80 |
| M26 | Shamrock Rovers · Home2 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +7.81 |
| M27 | Bohemians · Away9 Aug 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.04 | +9.85 |
| M28 | Derry City · Home23 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | +8.98 |
| M29 | Sligo Rovers · Away31 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +7.57 |
| M30 | Dundalk · Home13 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | +8.85 |
| M31 | St. Patricks · Away20 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.76 | +8.09 |
| M32 | Galway · Home27 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +6.96 |
| M33 | Drogheda · Home11 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +6.57 |
| M34 | Shelbourne · Away18 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.81 | +5.76 |
| M35 | Bohemians · Home25 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +5.44 |
| M36 | Shamrock Rovers · Away1 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.35 | +5.09 |
| Total | 45 | +5.09 | |||