Points
54Points expected by the market
56.71Gap
−2.71Yield
+2.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 16 | +2.87 | +18.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 10 | −9.30 | −47.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 25 | +4.37 | +25.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.64 | +30.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 16 | +2.87 | +18.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 0 | −9.17 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 16 | +6.37 | +98.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.13 | −4.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −2.00 | −39.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.64 | +30.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Shamrock Rovers · Home16 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +1.83 |
| M2 | Derry City · Away21 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.82 |
| M3 | Cork City · Away28 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −0.62 |
| M4 | Drogheda · Home3 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.86 | −2.48 |
| M5 | Waterford · Away7 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −0.98 |
| M6 | St. Patricks · Away14 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −1.84 |
| M7 | Galway · Home28 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −3.40 |
| M8 | Sligo Rovers · Home4 Apr 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.82 | −2.58 |
| M9 | Shelbourne · Away11 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −3.77 |
| M10 | Cork City · Home18 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | −2.87 |
| M11 | Shamrock Rovers · Away21 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.21 | −0.67 |
| M12 | St. Patricks · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +1.10 |
| M13 | Waterford · Home2 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.08 | −0.97 |
| M14 | Galway · Away5 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.64 |
| M15 | Sligo Rovers · Away10 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +1.88 |
| M16 | Shelbourne · Home16 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +3.37 |
| M17 | Drogheda · Away23 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +1.87 |
| M18 | Derry City · Home30 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +3.32 |
| M19 | Cork City · Away13 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.26 | +4.58 |
| M20 | Waterford · Away20 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | +2.93 |
| M21 | Shamrock Rovers · Home23 Jun 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +4.79 |
| M22 | Sligo Rovers · Home27 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.35 | +3.44 |
| M23 | St. Patricks · Away4 Jul 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.29 | +3.15 |
| M24 | Galway · Home11 Jul 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +4.09 |
| M25 | Derry City · Away25 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +3.93 |
| M26 | Drogheda · Home1 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.07 | +1.86 |
| M27 | Shelbourne · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | +1.33 |
| M28 | Cork City · Home22 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +2.10 |
| M29 | Sligo Rovers · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | +1.27 |
| M30 | Derry City · Home12 Sep 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.57 | −0.30 |
| M31 | Waterford · Home19 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +0.49 |
| M32 | Shamrock Rovers · Away26 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −0.49 |
| M33 | Galway · Away17 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.52 | −2.01 |
| M34 | St. Patricks · Home20 Oct 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.47 | −2.49 |
| M35 | Shelbourne · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.60 | −4.09 |
| M36 | Drogheda · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −2.71 |
| Total | 54 | −2.71 | |||