Points
24Points expected by the market
32.54Gap
−8.54Yield
−70.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +114.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | +0.08 | −24.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 7 | −10.03 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +114.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.54 | +4.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −3.43 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.46 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 3 | −6.61 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Galway · Home14 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.06 |
| M2 | Bohemians · Home28 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.67 |
| M3 | Waterford · Away3 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +0.52 |
| M4 | Sligo Rovers · Home7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +0.09 |
| M5 | Shelbourne · Away14 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | +0.34 |
| M6 | Drogheda · Home28 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.04 |
| M7 | Derry City · Away4 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | −0.64 |
| M8 | St. Patricks · Home11 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.67 | −1.32 |
| M9 | Shamrock Rovers · Away14 Apr 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.50 | −1.82 |
| M10 | Bohemians · Away18 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −2.48 |
| M11 | Waterford · Home21 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.07 |
| M12 | Sligo Rovers · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | −1.23 |
| M13 | Shamrock Rovers · Home2 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | −1.13 |
| M14 | Drogheda · Away5 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.08 |
| M15 | Derry City · Home9 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.91 |
| M16 | St. Patricks · Away16 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −3.47 |
| M17 | Galway · Away23 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −4.30 |
| M18 | Shelbourne · Home30 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −4.41 |
| M19 | Bohemians · Home13 Jun 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −5.40 |
| M20 | Shamrock Rovers · Away20 Jun 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.44 | −5.83 |
| M21 | Drogheda · Home23 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −6.11 |
| M22 | St. Patricks · Home27 Jun 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.05 | −6.06 |
| M23 | Shelbourne · Away4 Jul 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −6.69 |
| M24 | Waterford · Away11 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −7.83 |
| M25 | Sligo Rovers · Home25 Jul 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | −9.26 |
| M26 | Galway · Home1 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −7.45 |
| M27 | Derry City · Away8 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.57 | −6.88 |
| M28 | Bohemians · Away22 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −7.45 |
| M29 | Waterford · Home29 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −5.83 |
| M30 | Shamrock Rovers · Home19 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.38 | −5.45 |
| M31 | St. Patricks · Away22 Sep 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.48 | −5.93 |
| M32 | Galway · Away26 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −6.67 |
| M33 | Shelbourne · Home13 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.70 | −7.38 |
| M34 | Drogheda · Away17 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −8.10 |
| M35 | Sligo Rovers · Away25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.26 | −7.84 |
| M36 | Derry City · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −8.54 |
| Total | 24 | −8.54 | |||