Points
63Points expected by the market
58.77Gap
+4.23Yield
+6.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −0.94 | −12.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 28 | +0.92 | −4.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 24 | +5.27 | +40.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 10 | −0.94 | −12.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.10 | +1.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +0.14 | −20.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 14 | −0.18 | −10.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 15 | +5.14 | +86.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.02 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Shelbourne · Away14 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.37 |
| M2 | Bohemians · Home21 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.29 | −0.08 |
| M3 | Waterford · Home28 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.14 | −2.22 |
| M4 | St. Patricks · Away3 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.14 | −3.36 |
| M5 | Galway · Home7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −4.13 |
| M6 | Sligo Rovers · Away15 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −2.93 |
| M7 | Shamrock Rovers · Away28 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | −2.94 |
| M8 | Cork City · Home4 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | −2.11 |
| M9 | Drogheda · Home11 Apr 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.92 | −4.03 |
| M10 | Galway · Away18 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.71 | −2.32 |
| M11 | Sligo Rovers · Home22 Apr 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −1.47 |
| M12 | Waterford · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −3.28 |
| M13 | Shelbourne · Home2 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −1.85 |
| M14 | St. Patricks · Home5 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | −0.51 |
| M15 | Cork City · Away9 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.60 |
| M16 | Drogheda · Away16 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.01 |
| M17 | Shamrock Rovers · Home23 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −1.38 |
| M18 | Bohemians · Away30 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.53 |
| M19 | Galway · Home13 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −3.33 |
| M20 | Shelbourne · Away20 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −1.56 |
| M21 | St. Patricks · Away23 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.82 | +0.26 |
| M22 | Drogheda · Home27 Jun 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +1.25 |
| M23 | Waterford · Home4 Jul 2025 | W 7-2 | 3 | +0.91 | +2.16 |
| M24 | Sligo Rovers · Away12 Jul 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.86 | +0.30 |
| M25 | Bohemians · Home25 Jul 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.24 |
| M26 | Shamrock Rovers · Away3 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | −1.25 |
| M27 | Cork City · Home8 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.39 | −2.64 |
| M28 | Galway · Away22 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.01 |
| M29 | St. Patricks · Home29 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −1.50 |
| M30 | Bohemians · Away12 Sep 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.38 |
| M31 | Shelbourne · Home19 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −0.15 |
| M32 | Drogheda · Away26 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −0.72 |
| M33 | Sligo Rovers · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +0.24 |
| M34 | Waterford · Away17 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | +1.66 |
| M35 | Shamrock Rovers · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +3.29 |
| M36 | Cork City · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +4.23 |
| Total | 63 | +4.23 | |||