Points
51Points expected by the market
41.54Gap
+9.46Yield
+11.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +3.96 | +43.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 18 | −2.05 | −51.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 20 | +7.55 | +66.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +3.96 | +43.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 13 | +1.98 | −13.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.12 | −2.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.03 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 16 | +7.43 | +91.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St. Patricks · Away14 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.33 | +0.33 |
| M2 | Sligo Rovers · Home21 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +1.84 |
| M3 | Galway · Home28 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +1.70 |
| M4 | Bohemians · Away3 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +3.84 |
| M5 | Shelbourne · Away7 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.16 | +6.00 |
| M6 | Shamrock Rovers · Home14 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.95 | +5.05 |
| M7 | Cork City · Away28 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +4.74 |
| M8 | Waterford · Home4 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +6.04 |
| M9 | Derry City · Away11 Apr 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.20 | +8.24 |
| M10 | Shelbourne · Home18 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.32 | +7.92 |
| M11 | St. Patricks · Home21 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +7.77 |
| M12 | Galway · Away25 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +6.67 |
| M13 | Sligo Rovers · Away2 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +6.34 |
| M14 | Cork City · Home5 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.22 | +7.56 |
| M15 | Shamrock Rovers · Away9 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.60 | +6.96 |
| M16 | Derry City · Home16 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +6.88 |
| M17 | Shelbourne · Away19 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | +6.92 |
| M18 | Bohemians · Home23 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +8.71 |
| M19 | Waterford · Away30 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +8.37 |
| M20 | St. Patricks · Away13 Jun 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | +8.48 |
| M21 | Shamrock Rovers · Home16 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +7.62 |
| M22 | Sligo Rovers · Home20 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +8.83 |
| M23 | Cork City · Away23 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | +8.39 |
| M24 | Derry City · Away27 Jun 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +7.67 |
| M25 | Galway · Home4 Jul 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +9.25 |
| M26 | Bohemians · Away1 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.30 | +11.55 |
| M27 | Waterford · Home8 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +10.82 |
| M28 | St. Patricks · Home22 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | +9.74 |
| M29 | Shamrock Rovers · Away31 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +9.10 |
| M30 | Sligo Rovers · Away19 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +8.88 |
| M31 | Shelbourne · Home22 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | +10.89 |
| M32 | Derry City · Home26 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.12 | +10.78 |
| M33 | Waterford · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +9.51 |
| M34 | Cork City · Home17 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +10.47 |
| M35 | Galway · Away24 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +10.56 |
| M36 | Bohemians · Home1 Nov 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.10 | +9.46 |
| Total | 51 | +9.46 | |||