Points
39Points expected by the market
49.43Gap
−10.43Yield
−41.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 17 | −5.61 | −27.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 18 | −2.85 | −26.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.96 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −1.66 | −9.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.14 | −15.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −3.95 | −57.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.71 | −44.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.96 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cork City · Away14 Feb 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.64 | −0.64 |
| M2 | St. Patricks · Home21 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | +1.01 |
| M3 | Drogheda · Away28 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.46 |
| M4 | Shelbourne · Home3 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.08 |
| M5 | Derry City · Away7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.02 |
| M6 | Waterford · Home14 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.22 |
| M7 | Bohemians · Away28 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +3.08 |
| M8 | Shamrock Rovers · Home4 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +1.92 |
| M9 | Sligo Rovers · Away12 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.32 |
| M10 | Derry City · Home18 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.38 | +1.93 |
| M11 | Shelbourne · Away21 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.16 | +1.78 |
| M12 | Drogheda · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.18 |
| M13 | St. Patricks · Away2 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +2.22 |
| M14 | Bohemians · Home5 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.90 |
| M15 | Waterford · Away9 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.56 | −0.67 |
| M16 | Sligo Rovers · Home16 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.97 | −2.64 |
| M17 | Cork City · Home23 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.09 | −1.55 |
| M18 | Shamrock Rovers · Away30 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.31 | −1.25 |
| M19 | Derry City · Away13 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.07 | −1.17 |
| M20 | St. Patricks · Home20 Jun 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.72 | +0.54 |
| M21 | Sligo Rovers · Away23 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −1.07 |
| M22 | Shelbourne · Home27 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −1.33 |
| M23 | Drogheda · Away4 Jul 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.61 |
| M24 | Bohemians · Away11 Jul 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −3.32 |
| M25 | Waterford · Home25 Jul 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.73 | −5.04 |
| M26 | Cork City · Away1 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −6.58 |
| M27 | Shamrock Rovers · Home10 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | −6.89 |
| M28 | Derry City · Home22 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −8.22 |
| M29 | Shelbourne · Away7 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −9.20 |
| M30 | St. Patricks · Away19 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | −8.95 |
| M31 | Sligo Rovers · Home22 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | −10.78 |
| M32 | Cork City · Home26 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −9.81 |
| M33 | Bohemians · Home17 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −8.00 |
| M34 | Drogheda · Home24 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.83 | −8.83 |
| M35 | Shamrock Rovers · Away28 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −10.03 |
| M36 | Waterford · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −10.43 |
| Total | 39 | −10.43 | |||