Points
59Points expected by the market
54.27Gap
+4.73Yield
−8.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.44 | −5.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 24 | +2.33 | +6.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 18 | 27 | +3.71 | −2.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | −0.88 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 6 | −0.44 | −5.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | −0.39 | −16.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +1.87 | −5.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.72 | +28.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +1.84 | −0.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 2 | +0.20 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Derry City · Home14 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +1.70 |
| M2 | Waterford · Away21 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +3.04 |
| M3 | Shamrock Rovers · Home28 Feb 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +2.72 |
| M4 | Galway · Away3 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +2.59 |
| M5 | Drogheda · Home7 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | +0.70 |
| M6 | Cork City · Home14 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −0.28 |
| M7 | Sligo Rovers · Away28 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.08 |
| M8 | St. Patricks · Away4 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | +1.20 |
| M9 | Bohemians · Home11 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.68 |
| M10 | Drogheda · Away18 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | +2.32 |
| M11 | Galway · Home21 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | +1.78 |
| M12 | Shamrock Rovers · Away25 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.08 | +1.86 |
| M13 | Derry City · Away2 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.75 |
| M14 | Waterford · Home5 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.15 | −1.40 |
| M15 | St. Patricks · Home9 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.53 | +0.13 |
| M16 | Bohemians · Away16 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.05 |
| M17 | Drogheda · Home19 May 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −1.82 |
| M18 | Sligo Rovers · Home23 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.02 | −0.80 |
| M19 | Cork City · Away30 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −1.40 |
| M20 | Shamrock Rovers · Home13 Jun 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.48 |
| M21 | St. Patricks · Away16 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −0.62 |
| M22 | Derry City · Home20 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −2.06 |
| M23 | Waterford · Away23 Jun 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −2.47 |
| M24 | Galway · Away27 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −2.91 |
| M25 | Cork City · Home4 Jul 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.85 | −2.06 |
| M26 | Sligo Rovers · Away2 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.64 |
| M27 | Bohemians · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.17 | −0.81 |
| M28 | Galway · Home7 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +0.45 |
| M29 | Derry City · Away19 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +0.28 |
| M30 | Drogheda · Away22 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −1.45 |
| M31 | Waterford · Home26 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.86 | −0.59 |
| M32 | Shamrock Rovers · Away10 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +1.32 |
| M33 | Cork City · Away13 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +2.26 |
| M34 | Sligo Rovers · Home17 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.96 | +3.23 |
| M35 | Bohemians · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.89 | +5.11 |
| M36 | St. Patricks · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | +4.73 |
| Total | 59 | +4.73 | |||