Points
41Points expected by the market
36.52Gap
+4.48Yield
+11.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +1.50 | +6.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 21 | +4.58 | +25.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.60 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.22 | −31.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 11 | +3.85 | +66.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 10 | +3.72 | +66.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 10 | +0.72 | −0.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Waterford · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.44 | −1.44 |
| M2 | Drogheda · Away21 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.64 |
| M3 | St. Patricks · Away28 Feb 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −3.26 |
| M4 | Shamrock Rovers · Home3 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | −1.15 |
| M5 | Cork City · Away7 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | −1.45 |
| M6 | Derry City · Home15 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −2.39 |
| M7 | Shelbourne · Home28 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −3.45 |
| M8 | Bohemians · Away4 Apr 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −4.06 |
| M9 | Galway · Home12 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −5.17 |
| M10 | Waterford · Away18 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.99 | −3.19 |
| M11 | Derry City · Away22 Apr 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.62 | −3.81 |
| M12 | Cork City · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −4.37 |
| M13 | Drogheda · Home2 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.38 | −4.75 |
| M14 | Shamrock Rovers · Away5 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −5.23 |
| M15 | Bohemians · Home10 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.98 | −6.21 |
| M16 | Galway · Away16 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.21 | −3.99 |
| M17 | Shelbourne · Away23 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.77 | −4.77 |
| M18 | St. Patricks · Home30 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −5.84 |
| M19 | Waterford · Home14 Jun 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −4.31 |
| M20 | Drogheda · Away20 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −5.26 |
| M21 | Galway · Home23 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −3.38 |
| M22 | Bohemians · Away27 Jun 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.52 | −2.86 |
| M23 | Shamrock Rovers · Home5 Jul 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.38 | −2.48 |
| M24 | Derry City · Home12 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −0.35 |
| M25 | Cork City · Away25 Jul 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | +1.37 |
| M26 | Shelbourne · Home2 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +0.23 |
| M27 | St. Patricks · Away10 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.57 | −0.34 |
| M28 | Waterford · Away22 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | +1.45 |
| M29 | Bohemians · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +1.53 |
| M30 | Drogheda · Home19 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +1.05 |
| M31 | Galway · Away22 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +3.13 |
| M32 | St. Patricks · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | +5.26 |
| M33 | Derry City · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.73 | +4.53 |
| M34 | Shelbourne · Away17 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.73 | +3.80 |
| M35 | Cork City · Home25 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +2.77 |
| M36 | Shamrock Rovers · Away1 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +4.48 |
| Total | 41 | +4.48 | |||