Points
39Points expected by the market
37.08Gap
+1.92Yield
+22.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.84 | −31.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | +0.37 | −0.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 18 | +3.39 | +48.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.84 | −31.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +2.37 | +10.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.48 | −13.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 3 | −2.00 | −28.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 15 | +4.88 | +70.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sligo Rovers · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.73 |
| M2 | Shelbourne · Home21 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | +0.70 |
| M3 | Derry City · Away28 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.37 | +3.07 |
| M4 | Cork City · Home3 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +4.51 |
| M5 | Bohemians · Home7 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +3.31 |
| M6 | Galway · Away14 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.36 |
| M7 | St. Patricks · Home28 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +1.46 |
| M8 | Drogheda · Away4 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.45 |
| M9 | Shamrock Rovers · Away11 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.55 | −0.10 |
| M10 | Sligo Rovers · Home18 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.82 |
| M11 | Cork City · Away21 Apr 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −2.95 |
| M12 | Derry City · Home25 Apr 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | −0.87 |
| M13 | Bohemians · Away2 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.31 | +1.44 |
| M14 | Shelbourne · Away5 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.38 | +3.81 |
| M15 | Galway · Home9 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +5.66 |
| M16 | Shamrock Rovers · Home16 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +4.85 |
| M17 | St. Patricks · Away23 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.35 | +5.19 |
| M18 | Drogheda · Home30 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | +4.82 |
| M19 | Sligo Rovers · Away14 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | +3.56 |
| M20 | Bohemians · Home20 Jun 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +5.47 |
| M21 | Shelbourne · Home23 Jun 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | +5.17 |
| M22 | Shamrock Rovers · Away27 Jun 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | +4.72 |
| M23 | Derry City · Away4 Jul 2025 | L 2-7 | 0 | −0.68 | +4.04 |
| M24 | Cork City · Home11 Jul 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.45 |
| M25 | Galway · Away25 Jul 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.99 | +7.44 |
| M26 | St. Patricks · Home3 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +6.39 |
| M27 | Drogheda · Away8 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | +6.39 |
| M28 | Sligo Rovers · Home22 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | +4.86 |
| M29 | Cork City · Away29 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +3.52 |
| M30 | Bohemians · Away19 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.60 | +2.93 |
| M31 | Shamrock Rovers · Home22 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | +2.11 |
| M32 | Shelbourne · Away26 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.64 | +1.47 |
| M33 | Drogheda · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | +3.01 |
| M34 | Derry City · Home17 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.14 | +1.88 |
| M35 | St. Patricks · Away24 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.36 | +2.23 |
| M36 | Galway · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.92 |
| Total | 39 | +1.92 | |||