Points
62Points expected by the market
59.13Gap
+2.87Yield
−2.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 17 | −0.54 | −12.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 31 | +2.42 | −0.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 14 | +0.99 | +3.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 14 | −1.47 | −21.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 12 | −2.16 | −30.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.18 | +16.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.93 | +48.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 19 | +4.59 | +29.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 10 | −0.19 | −0.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St. Patricks · Home8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.36 | −0.36 |
| M2 | Sligo Rovers · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.73 |
| M3 | Derry City · Away20 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +2.52 |
| M4 | Shamrock Rovers · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.44 | +3.95 |
| M5 | Waterford · Away6 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +5.12 |
| M6 | Galway · Home13 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +6.07 |
| M7 | Shelbourne · Away16 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.30 | +5.77 |
| M8 | Dundalk · Home20 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +4.73 |
| M9 | Drogheda · Away3 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | +3.98 |
| M10 | Waterford · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.38 | +2.60 |
| M11 | Sligo Rovers · Home10 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.28 | +0.32 |
| M12 | Shamrock Rovers · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −0.89 |
| M13 | St. Patricks · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.07 |
| M14 | Derry City · Home1 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −2.91 |
| M15 | Shelbourne · Home4 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −3.58 |
| M16 | Dundalk · Away8 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −1.93 |
| M17 | Drogheda · Home15 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −1.00 |
| M18 | Galway · Away22 May 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.30 | +0.30 |
| M19 | Shamrock Rovers · Home25 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.54 | −1.24 |
| M20 | Sligo Rovers · Away29 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −0.31 |
| M21 | Derry City · Away12 Jun 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.39 | −1.70 |
| M22 | Dundalk · Home19 Jun 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −3.53 |
| M23 | Shelbourne · Away22 Jun 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −1.90 |
| M24 | St. Patricks · Home26 Jun 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.36 |
| M25 | Drogheda · Away3 Jul 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.80 |
| M26 | Galway · Home2 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −0.25 |
| M27 | Waterford · Away9 Aug 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.65 | −1.89 |
| M28 | Derry City · Home21 Aug 2026 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.70 |
| M29 | Sligo Rovers · Home28 Aug 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.61 | −0.09 |
| M30 | Galway · Away11 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.07 |
| M31 | Drogheda · Home18 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.76 | +1.83 |
| M32 | Dundalk · Away2 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +2.93 |
| M33 | Shamrock Rovers · Away12 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +1.75 |
| M34 | Waterford · Home16 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.87 |
| Total | 62 | +2.87 | |||