Points
44Points expected by the market
50.28Gap
−6.28Yield
−31.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | +0.24 | +2.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 11 | −5.42 | −66.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 15 | −4.54 | −43.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 9 | +3.44 | +28.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 9 | +0.24 | +2.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −2.32 | −49.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.08 | −6.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.01 | +277.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.10 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 6 | −5.62 | −67.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 6 | +1.43 | −21.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sligo Rovers · Home6 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +0.74 |
| M2 | Dundalk · Home13 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.92 | −0.18 |
| M3 | Bohemians · Home20 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −1.67 |
| M4 | Waterford · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.90 | −0.77 |
| M5 | Shamrock Rovers · Away6 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.85 |
| M6 | Shelbourne · Home13 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −3.40 |
| M7 | St. Patricks · Away16 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.52 |
| M8 | Drogheda · Home20 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.01 | −4.53 |
| M9 | Galway · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −5.91 |
| M10 | Sligo Rovers · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | −6.61 |
| M11 | Dundalk · Away10 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | −6.91 |
| M12 | Shelbourne · Away17 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −4.89 |
| M13 | Shamrock Rovers · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −3.12 |
| M14 | Bohemians · Away1 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | −3.01 |
| M15 | Galway · Home4 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.79 | −3.79 |
| M16 | Drogheda · Away8 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | −5.26 |
| M17 | Waterford · Away15 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | −6.09 |
| M18 | St. Patricks · Home22 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.20 | −6.29 |
| M19 | Shelbourne · Home25 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −6.67 |
| M20 | Dundalk · Away29 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −7.86 |
| M21 | Bohemians · Home12 Jun 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −6.16 |
| M22 | Galway · Away19 Jun 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.57 | −7.74 |
| M23 | Shamrock Rovers · Away22 Jun 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −7.69 |
| M24 | Drogheda · Home26 Jun 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.96 | −6.73 |
| M25 | Waterford · Home3 Jul 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −2.12 | −8.86 |
| M26 | St. Patricks · Away2 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −8.67 |
| M27 | Sligo Rovers · Home7 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | −7.94 |
| M28 | Bohemians · Away21 Aug 2026 | L 3-5 | 0 | −0.94 | −8.88 |
| M29 | Shamrock Rovers · Home30 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.31 | −9.19 |
| M30 | Shelbourne · Away11 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −7.41 |
| M31 | Waterford · Away14 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | −7.80 |
| M32 | Galway · Home18 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −6.82 |
| M33 | Drogheda · Away16 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −8.29 |
| M34 | St. Patricks · Home19 Oct 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | −6.28 |
| Total | 44 | −6.28 | |||