Points
42Points expected by the market
45.86Gap
−3.86Yield
−21.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.11 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.12 | −18.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 14 | −3.07 | −43.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 13 | +4.44 | +19.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.11 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +1.28 | +22.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.32 | −61.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.11 | +81.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 2 | −3.40 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.25 | −22.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +3.33 | +4.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Derry City · Away13 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.17 |
| M2 | Drogheda · Home20 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.33 |
| M3 | Shamrock Rovers · Away23 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.34 | +0.01 |
| M4 | St. Patricks · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.95 | −0.94 |
| M5 | Galway · Away6 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.13 |
| M6 | Waterford · Home13 Mar 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.03 |
| M7 | Sligo Rovers · Home16 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +1.11 |
| M8 | Bohemians · Away20 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | +1.38 |
| M9 | Shelbourne · Away3 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.11 | +3.50 |
| M10 | St. Patricks · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.98 | +5.48 |
| M11 | Derry City · Home10 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.40 | +5.07 |
| M12 | Galway · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +6.30 |
| M13 | Sligo Rovers · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.65 | +4.65 |
| M14 | Shelbourne · Home1 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +3.26 |
| M15 | Waterford · Away4 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.85 | +2.41 |
| M16 | Bohemians · Home8 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.37 | +1.04 |
| M17 | Shamrock Rovers · Home15 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +2.78 |
| M18 | Drogheda · Away22 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +2.38 |
| M19 | Derry City · Home29 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +3.86 |
| M20 | Galway · Away12 Jun 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +5.43 |
| M21 | Bohemians · Away19 Jun 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.07 | +7.50 |
| M22 | Waterford · Home26 Jun 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.05 | +5.45 |
| M23 | Shelbourne · Away3 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | +4.37 |
| M24 | Drogheda · Home10 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.94 | +2.43 |
| M25 | St. Patricks · Away24 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | +2.75 |
| M26 | Sligo Rovers · Home31 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | +1.69 |
| M27 | Shamrock Rovers · Away7 Aug 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.68 |
| M28 | Galway · Home21 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −1.04 |
| M29 | Drogheda · Away28 Aug 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | +0.51 |
| M30 | Waterford · Away11 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.30 |
| M31 | St. Patricks · Home14 Sep 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.73 |
| M32 | Shelbourne · Home18 Sep 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.36 | −2.09 |
| M33 | Bohemians · Home2 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −2.96 |
| M34 | Sligo Rovers · Away17 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.90 | −3.86 |
| Total | 42 | −3.86 | |||