Points
41Points expected by the market
39.24Gap
+1.76Yield
−22.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 15 | +2.95 | −0.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +3.05 | +29.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 11 | −4.24 | −57.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 11 | +2.18 | +1.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.43 | −15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.89 | −15.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.77 | −6.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +3.48 | +188.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 7 | −3.35 | −72.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Drogheda · Home6 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.50 |
| M2 | Shelbourne · Away20 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | −1.22 |
| M3 | Sligo Rovers · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | −0.06 |
| M4 | St. Patricks · Away2 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −0.89 |
| M5 | Dundalk · Home6 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | −1.41 |
| M6 | Bohemians · Away13 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.12 |
| M7 | Waterford · Home16 Mar 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.10 | −1.01 |
| M8 | Shamrock Rovers · Away20 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −1.75 |
| M9 | Derry City · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −0.06 |
| M10 | Drogheda · Away6 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +1.79 |
| M11 | Dundalk · Away17 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.83 |
| M12 | Waterford · Away24 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +0.30 |
| M13 | St. Patricks · Home1 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | +0.28 |
| M14 | Derry City · Away4 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.33 |
| M15 | Shamrock Rovers · Home8 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −0.68 |
| M16 | Sligo Rovers · Away16 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.95 |
| M17 | Bohemians · Home22 May 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.08 |
| M18 | Shelbourne · Away29 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +0.05 |
| M19 | Dundalk · Home12 Jun 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.25 |
| M20 | Derry City · Home19 Jun 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.86 | +0.61 |
| M21 | Shamrock Rovers · Away26 Jun 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −0.02 |
| M22 | St. Patricks · Away3 Jul 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −0.65 |
| M23 | Sligo Rovers · Home11 Jul 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.51 |
| M24 | Waterford · Home25 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −0.11 |
| M25 | Bohemians · Away2 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | +0.17 |
| M26 | Drogheda · Home7 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | −0.47 |
| M27 | Dundalk · Away21 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.98 | +1.51 |
| M28 | Shelbourne · Home28 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | +1.15 |
| M29 | Bohemians · Home11 Sep 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.92 | +0.23 |
| M30 | Sligo Rovers · Away14 Sep 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.53 |
| M31 | Derry City · Away18 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | +0.77 |
| M32 | Shelbourne · Home25 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | +0.48 |
| M33 | Shamrock Rovers · Home16 Oct 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.09 | +2.57 |
| M34 | Waterford · Away19 Oct 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.81 | +1.76 |
| Total | 41 | +1.76 | |||