Points
65Points expected by the market
58.81Gap
+6.19Yield
+6.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 17 | −0.50 | −13.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 28 | +4.28 | +7.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +2.40 | +18.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 16 | +0.60 | −1.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.11 | +20.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 12 | +6.04 | +129.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.10 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 14 | +1.17 | −4.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.63 | −30.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St. Patricks · Home20 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.48 |
| M2 | Dundalk · Home23 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.11 | +0.38 |
| M3 | Bohemians · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.13 | −0.76 |
| M4 | Derry City · Home6 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +0.60 |
| M5 | Shelbourne · Away9 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.25 | +0.35 |
| M6 | Sligo Rovers · Away13 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.38 |
| M7 | Drogheda · Away16 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | +0.65 |
| M8 | Galway · Home20 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.63 |
| M9 | Waterford · Away3 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | +0.53 |
| M10 | Shelbourne · Home6 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.76 |
| M11 | St. Patricks · Away10 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +3.60 |
| M12 | Bohemians · Home17 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +5.12 |
| M13 | Derry City · Away24 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.47 | +3.65 |
| M14 | Waterford · Home1 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +4.24 |
| M15 | Drogheda · Home4 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +5.19 |
| M16 | Galway · Away8 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +6.48 |
| M17 | Dundalk · Away15 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | +5.00 |
| M18 | Sligo Rovers · Home22 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.33 | +2.67 |
| M19 | Bohemians · Away25 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +4.50 |
| M20 | St. Patricks · Home29 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +6.05 |
| M21 | Shelbourne · Away12 Jun 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | +4.71 |
| M22 | Waterford · Away19 Jun 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +5.83 |
| M23 | Derry City · Home22 Jun 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | +5.06 |
| M24 | Galway · Home26 Jun 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +5.90 |
| M25 | Sligo Rovers · Away3 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +6.90 |
| M26 | Drogheda · Away31 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | +6.20 |
| M27 | Dundalk · Home7 Aug 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.27 | +7.48 |
| M28 | Derry City · Away30 Aug 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.40 | +7.08 |
| M29 | Shelbourne · Home4 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | +6.11 |
| M30 | St. Patricks · Away11 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +4.88 |
| M31 | Waterford · Home18 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.93 | +5.81 |
| M32 | Drogheda · Home8 Oct 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.73 | +6.55 |
| M33 | Bohemians · Home12 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +8.02 |
| M34 | Galway · Away16 Oct 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.83 | +6.19 |
| Total | 65 | +6.19 | |||