Points
46Points expected by the market
51.92Gap
−5.92Yield
−16.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.32 | −12.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 14 | −7.63 | −52.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −2.12 | −23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 8 | +3.52 | +85.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.32 | −12.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 5 | −7.94 | −72.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.66 | −63.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.30 | −23.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +2.54 | +16.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 8 | +3.52 | +85.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Waterford · Away6 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −0.73 |
| M2 | Galway · Home20 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | −1.77 |
| M3 | Drogheda · Away27 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | −0.37 |
| M4 | St. Patricks · Home6 Mar 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.88 |
| M5 | Shamrock Rovers · Home9 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −2.33 |
| M6 | Derry City · Away13 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.49 |
| M7 | Bohemians · Home16 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | −0.88 |
| M8 | Sligo Rovers · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +0.27 |
| M9 | Dundalk · Home3 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.86 | −1.58 |
| M10 | Shamrock Rovers · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.53 |
| M11 | Derry City · Home17 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.74 | −4.27 |
| M12 | Drogheda · Home24 Apr 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.96 | −6.22 |
| M13 | Dundalk · Away1 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.67 | −4.55 |
| M14 | Bohemians · Away4 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.05 | −4.60 |
| M15 | Sligo Rovers · Home8 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.14 | −5.75 |
| M16 | St. Patricks · Away15 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | −3.68 |
| M17 | Waterford · Home22 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | −2.84 |
| M18 | Derry City · Away25 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | −3.16 |
| M19 | Galway · Home29 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | −4.04 |
| M20 | Shamrock Rovers · Home12 Jun 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −2.40 |
| M21 | Drogheda · Away19 Jun 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | −3.09 |
| M22 | Bohemians · Home22 Jun 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −4.43 |
| M23 | Sligo Rovers · Away27 Jun 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.84 | −5.27 |
| M24 | Dundalk · Home3 Jul 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −3.93 |
| M25 | Waterford · Away2 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −5.40 |
| M26 | St. Patricks · Home9 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −6.51 |
| M27 | Galway · Away28 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −6.87 |
| M28 | Shamrock Rovers · Away4 Sep 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.21 | −6.66 |
| M29 | Derry City · Home11 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −8.16 |
| M30 | Drogheda · Home14 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | −9.96 |
| M31 | Dundalk · Away18 Sep 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | −8.34 |
| M32 | Galway · Away25 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −8.78 |
| M33 | Sligo Rovers · Home9 Oct 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.62 | −8.16 |
| M34 | St. Patricks · Away16 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.24 | −5.92 |
| Total | 46 | −5.92 | |||