Points
24Points expected by the market
28.61Gap
−4.61Yield
−23.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.34 | +97.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.82 | +5.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 27 | 13 | −6.77 | −34.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.34 | +97.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 8 | +0.82 | +5.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 4 | −4.02 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 9 | −2.75 | +3.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Derry City · Away6 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −0.54 |
| M2 | Bohemians · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.38 |
| M3 | Waterford · Away20 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.01 | −1.37 |
| M4 | Galway · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.26 |
| M5 | Drogheda · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.46 |
| M6 | Shamrock Rovers · Home13 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −1.24 |
| M7 | Dundalk · Away16 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | −2.08 |
| M8 | Shelbourne · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.97 |
| M9 | St. Patricks · Away3 Apr 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.48 | −3.45 |
| M10 | Derry City · Home6 Apr 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.02 | −3.47 |
| M11 | Bohemians · Away10 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.48 | −0.99 |
| M12 | Waterford · Home18 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.36 |
| M13 | Dundalk · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +2.28 |
| M14 | Drogheda · Away1 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.90 | +1.37 |
| M15 | St. Patricks · Home4 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.25 | +1.63 |
| M16 | Shelbourne · Away8 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.36 | +1.99 |
| M17 | Galway · Home16 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.33 | +0.66 |
| M18 | Shamrock Rovers · Away22 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.52 | +3.18 |
| M19 | Bohemians · Home29 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.70 | +2.48 |
| M20 | Waterford · Away12 Jun 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.04 | +1.44 |
| M21 | St. Patricks · Away19 Jun 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.40 | +1.04 |
| M22 | Shelbourne · Home27 Jun 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.10 | +1.14 |
| M23 | Shamrock Rovers · Home3 Jul 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.76 | +0.38 |
| M24 | Galway · Away11 Jul 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.54 |
| M25 | Drogheda · Home25 Jul 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | −0.85 |
| M26 | Dundalk · Away31 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.27 | −0.58 |
| M27 | Derry City · Away7 Aug 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.12 |
| M28 | Waterford · Home21 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −1.33 |
| M29 | Bohemians · Away28 Aug 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.44 | −1.77 |
| M30 | Drogheda · Away11 Sep 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.72 |
| M31 | Galway · Home14 Sep 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −3.77 |
| M32 | St. Patricks · Home19 Sep 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | −4.29 |
| M33 | Shelbourne · Away9 Oct 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.46 | −4.74 |
| M34 | Dundalk · Home17 Oct 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | −4.61 |
| Total | 24 | −4.61 | |||