Points
59Points expected by the market
61.48Gap
−2.48Yield
−13.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 19 | +0.88 | −2.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 32 | −2.21 | −15.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 8 | −1.15 | −22.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 16 | +0.17 | −7.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.09 | −19.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.52 | +130.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.71 | +29.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 18 | −0.12 | −10.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.68 | −48.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bohemians · Away8 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.33 | −0.33 |
| M2 | Shamrock Rovers · Away20 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.16 | −1.49 |
| M3 | Dundalk · Home27 Feb 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −0.26 |
| M4 | Galway · Home2 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.84 |
| M5 | Shelbourne · Away6 Mar 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.82 | +2.66 |
| M6 | Drogheda · Home13 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +3.63 |
| M7 | Derry City · Home16 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.58 | +3.05 |
| M8 | Waterford · Away20 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +4.16 |
| M9 | Sligo Rovers · Home3 Apr 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +4.84 |
| M10 | Dundalk · Away6 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.70 | +3.14 |
| M11 | Shamrock Rovers · Home10 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | +1.59 |
| M12 | Drogheda · Away17 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.77 |
| M13 | Bohemians · Home24 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +4.24 |
| M14 | Galway · Away1 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | +3.53 |
| M15 | Sligo Rovers · Away4 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.01 | +2.52 |
| M16 | Waterford · Home8 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.65 | +3.17 |
| M17 | Shelbourne · Home15 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.80 | +1.37 |
| M18 | Derry City · Away22 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | +0.87 |
| M19 | Shamrock Rovers · Away29 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.26 | −0.39 |
| M20 | Drogheda · Home12 Jun 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +0.39 |
| M21 | Sligo Rovers · Home19 Jun 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +0.95 |
| M22 | Bohemians · Away26 Jun 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.30 |
| M23 | Galway · Home3 Jul 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +0.54 |
| M24 | Waterford · Away10 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | −0.46 |
| M25 | Dundalk · Home24 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.10 | −1.55 |
| M26 | Derry City · Home2 Aug 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −2.48 |
| M27 | Shelbourne · Away9 Aug 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −1.09 |
| M28 | Drogheda · Away21 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −0.02 |
| M29 | Waterford · Home28 Aug 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.23 | −2.25 |
| M30 | Shamrock Rovers · Home11 Sep 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −0.73 |
| M31 | Dundalk · Away14 Sep 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +0.56 |
| M32 | Sligo Rovers · Away19 Sep 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +1.26 |
| M33 | Shelbourne · Home16 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.01 | −0.75 |
| M34 | Derry City · Away19 Oct 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | −2.48 |
| Total | 59 | −2.48 | |||