Points
37Points expected by the market
33.91Gap
+3.09Yield
−11.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | +0.53 | −30.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 12 | +3.50 | +20.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 16 | −0.94 | −16.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.06 | −13.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 11 | +4.70 | +68.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 5 | −1.92 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.53 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.20 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 11 | +0.98 | +31.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Shelbourne · Home6 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| M2 | Drogheda · Away13 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.02 |
| M3 | Sligo Rovers · Home20 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −1.77 |
| M4 | Derry City · Away27 Feb 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.68 | −2.44 |
| M5 | Bohemians · Home6 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.36 |
| M6 | Dundalk · Away13 Mar 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.90 | −4.26 |
| M7 | Galway · Away16 Mar 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.85 | −5.11 |
| M8 | St. Patricks · Home20 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −5.98 |
| M9 | Shamrock Rovers · Home3 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.33 | −5.65 |
| M10 | Bohemians · Away6 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.55 | −5.10 |
| M11 | Sligo Rovers · Away18 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | −6.16 |
| M12 | Galway · Home24 Apr 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.19 | −6.35 |
| M13 | Shamrock Rovers · Away1 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.43 | −6.78 |
| M14 | Dundalk · Home4 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.09 | −6.69 |
| M15 | St. Patricks · Away8 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.47 | −7.17 |
| M16 | Derry City · Home15 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −7.08 |
| M17 | Drogheda · Home18 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | −5.49 |
| M18 | Shelbourne · Away22 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.63 | −6.12 |
| M19 | Drogheda · Away29 May 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.01 | −6.13 |
| M20 | Sligo Rovers · Home12 Jun 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.31 | −4.82 |
| M21 | Shamrock Rovers · Home19 Jun 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | −5.69 |
| M22 | Dundalk · Away26 Jun 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.27 | −3.42 |
| M23 | Derry City · Away3 Jul 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.34 | −1.08 |
| M24 | St. Patricks · Home10 Jul 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.86 |
| M25 | Galway · Away25 Jul 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.13 | −1.00 |
| M26 | Shelbourne · Home2 Aug 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +0.75 |
| M27 | Bohemians · Home9 Aug 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.91 | +2.65 |
| M28 | Sligo Rovers · Away21 Aug 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +2.13 |
| M29 | St. Patricks · Away28 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.42 | +4.55 |
| M30 | Dundalk · Home11 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | +4.00 |
| M31 | Derry City · Home14 Sep 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +3.66 |
| M32 | Shamrock Rovers · Away18 Sep 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.72 | +2.94 |
| M33 | Bohemians · Away16 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | +2.06 |
| M34 | Galway · Home19 Oct 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.04 | +3.09 |
| Total | 37 | +3.09 | |||