Points
45Points expected by the market
49.98Gap
−4.98Yield
−27.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 15 | −4.88 | −38.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 27 | +1.75 | −2.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.85 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −3.37 | −25.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 16 | +5.05 | +60.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.51 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −3.30 | −48.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 3 | −1.85 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bristol Rovers · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +1.33 |
| M2 | Southend · Away10 Aug 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.85 |
| M3 | Oxford · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +4.37 |
| M4 | Gillingham · Away20 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | +3.96 |
| M5 | Rochdale · Away24 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +3.54 |
| M6 | Portsmouth · Home31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +3.27 |
| M7 | Coventry · Away7 Sep 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +2.09 |
| M8 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.80 | +0.28 |
| M9 | Doncaster · Away17 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +2.15 |
| M10 | Accrington · Away21 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +1.82 |
| M11 | Lincoln · Home27 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +3.29 |
| M12 | Bolton · Away7 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | +2.39 |
| M13 | Rotherham · Home12 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | +1.06 |
| M14 | Wycombe · Home22 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +0.49 |
| M15 | Burton · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +0.41 |
| M16 | Peterborough · Home2 Nov 2019 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.17 |
| M17 | AFC Wimbledon · Home16 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +3.14 |
| M18 | Ipswich · Away23 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | +3.14 |
| M19 | Fleetwood Town · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +4.77 |
| M20 | Sunderland · Away14 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | +4.74 |
| M21 | Shrewsbury · Home21 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.67 | +3.07 |
| M22 | Accrington · Home26 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.62 | +1.45 |
| M23 | Tranmere · Away29 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.92 |
| M24 | Rotherham · Away1 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.01 |
| M25 | Lincoln · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | −1.12 |
| M26 | Wycombe · Away28 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −2.38 |
| M27 | Oxford · Away1 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −3.31 |
| M28 | Southend · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −2.36 |
| M29 | Gillingham · Home11 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −3.74 |
| M30 | Bristol Rovers · Away15 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.37 | −5.11 |
| M31 | AFC Wimbledon · Away22 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.60 | −5.72 |
| M32 | Bolton · Home25 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −4.76 |
| M33 | Ipswich · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | −3.10 |
| M34 | Fleetwood Town · Away7 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.04 | −3.06 |
| M35 | Tranmere · Home10 Mar 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.92 | −4.98 |
| Total | 45 | −4.98 | |||