Points
52Points expected by the market
55.26Gap
−3.26Yield
−18.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.38 | +12.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 35 | +6.94 | +19.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 10 | −11.45 | −65.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.87 | +22.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +2.62 | +3.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 1 | −7.48 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.38 | +12.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +4.32 | +53.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 9 | −3.97 | −44.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.87 | +22.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Burton · Away3 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +1.95 |
| M2 | Sunderland · Home10 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.30 | +1.65 |
| M3 | Peterborough · Away17 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.27 | +1.38 |
| M4 | AFC Wimbledon · Home20 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +2.51 |
| M5 | Bolton · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.38 | +2.89 |
| M6 | Shrewsbury · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +4.09 |
| M7 | Doncaster · Home14 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.78 | +3.31 |
| M8 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away17 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +4.73 |
| M9 | Gillingham · Away21 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +6.19 |
| M10 | Tranmere · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +7.19 |
| M11 | Fleetwood Town · Away5 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | +9.05 |
| M12 | Accrington · Away20 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +7.49 |
| M13 | Rotherham · Home23 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.56 | +5.93 |
| M14 | Southend · Away26 Oct 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.00 | +6.93 |
| M15 | Rochdale · Away5 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.24 | +8.17 |
| M16 | Blackpool · Home23 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | +7.46 |
| M17 | Wycombe · Home26 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +6.75 |
| M18 | Coventry · Away7 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +6.57 |
| M19 | Bristol Rovers · Home14 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.91 | +4.67 |
| M20 | Portsmouth · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | +3.49 |
| M21 | Gillingham · Home26 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.65 | +2.84 |
| M22 | Lincoln · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 3-5 | 0 | −1.31 | +1.53 |
| M23 | Wycombe · Away1 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.25 |
| M24 | Accrington · Home11 Jan 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +2.68 |
| M25 | Oxford · Away14 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | +2.60 |
| M26 | Tranmere · Away18 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.92 |
| M27 | Lincoln · Home25 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +5.25 |
| M28 | Rotherham · Away28 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +4.09 |
| M29 | Peterborough · Home1 Feb 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.50 | +2.59 |
| M30 | Sunderland · Away8 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | +1.59 |
| M31 | AFC Wimbledon · Away11 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | +0.94 |
| M32 | Burton · Home15 Feb 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +2.21 |
| M33 | Oxford · Home22 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +0.69 |
| M34 | Blackpool · Away29 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.66 |
| M35 | Fleetwood Town · Home3 Mar 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.02 |
| M36 | Coventry · Home7 Mar 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.26 |
| Total | 52 | −3.26 | |||