Points
42Points expected by the market
48.19Gap
−6.19Yield
−15.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | −0.26 | +4.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 24 | −3.90 | −24.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −2.86 | −15.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 9 | +1.59 | +31.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 21 | +4.07 | +26.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.85 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 3 | −7.97 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −2.86 | −15.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Accrington · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.23 |
| M2 | Rotherham · Away10 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +3.17 |
| M3 | Southend · Home17 Aug 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.00 | +4.17 |
| M4 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away20 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +2.77 |
| M5 | Doncaster · Away24 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +1.37 |
| M6 | Fleetwood Town · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +2.83 |
| M7 | Wycombe · Away7 Sep 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | +1.48 |
| M8 | Bristol Rovers · Home14 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.74 | −0.27 |
| M9 | Rochdale · Away17 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −0.72 |
| M10 | Oxford · Home21 Sep 2019 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.23 |
| M11 | Blackpool · Away27 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.42 |
| M12 | Sunderland · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.61 |
| M13 | Peterborough · Away12 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.52 |
| M14 | Shrewsbury · Home18 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −3.09 |
| M15 | Portsmouth · Away22 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −4.03 |
| M16 | AFC Wimbledon · Away2 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −4.53 |
| M17 | Gillingham · Away16 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.39 | −5.92 |
| M18 | Burton · Away7 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −3.91 |
| M19 | Tranmere · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.11 | −2.79 |
| M20 | Coventry · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.99 | −3.79 |
| M21 | Oxford · Away26 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −4.66 |
| M22 | Ipswich · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 5-3 | 3 | +1.62 | −3.04 |
| M23 | Peterborough · Home1 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −1.50 |
| M24 | Sunderland · Away4 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −2.50 |
| M25 | Shrewsbury · Away11 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −2.78 |
| M26 | Bolton · Home14 Jan 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −1.97 |
| M27 | Blackpool · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | −0.54 |
| M28 | Ipswich · Away25 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −1.58 |
| M29 | Portsmouth · Home28 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.93 |
| M30 | Southend · Away1 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −4.78 |
| M31 | Rotherham · Home7 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.13 | −5.90 |
| M32 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home11 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −6.42 |
| M33 | Accrington · Away15 Feb 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.06 | −7.47 |
| M34 | Gillingham · Home22 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −7.74 |
| M35 | Burton · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.55 | −6.19 |
| Total | 42 | −6.19 | |||