Points
60Points expected by the market
55.56Gap
+4.44Yield
−2.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 10 | +0.97 | +4.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 30 | +6.86 | +26.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 19 | −2.39 | −14.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.31 | +39.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 23 | +6.98 | +44.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −3.30 | −56.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.34 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.12 | −14.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | +0.91 | +4.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.00 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sunderland · Away3 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | +0.05 |
| M2 | Peterborough · Home10 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +1.50 |
| M3 | Blackpool · Away17 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.27 |
| M4 | Burton · Home20 Aug 2019 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.47 | −1.20 |
| M5 | Bristol Rovers · Away24 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.61 |
| M6 | Coventry · Home31 Aug 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.43 | −3.04 |
| M7 | Fleetwood Town · Away7 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −4.17 |
| M8 | Tranmere · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −3.07 |
| M9 | Bolton · Away17 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.34 | −4.41 |
| M10 | Lincoln · Away21 Sep 2019 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −2.61 |
| M11 | Gillingham · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −1.47 |
| M12 | Accrington · Away5 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.03 |
| M13 | Doncaster · Home12 Oct 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.63 |
| M14 | Rotherham · Away19 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +1.13 |
| M15 | Rochdale · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +2.02 |
| M16 | Portsmouth · Away2 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +1.90 |
| M17 | Southend · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +2.87 |
| M18 | Shrewsbury · Home7 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +2.01 |
| M19 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away14 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | +0.25 |
| M20 | Wycombe · Home21 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.60 |
| M21 | Lincoln · Home26 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +2.75 |
| M22 | AFC Wimbledon · Away29 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +3.98 |
| M23 | Doncaster · Away1 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +2.62 |
| M24 | Rotherham · Home11 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | +1.11 |
| M25 | Ipswich · Home14 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.63 | +0.48 |
| M26 | Gillingham · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | +0.17 |
| M27 | Blackpool · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +1.37 |
| M28 | Peterborough · Away8 Feb 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.05 | +0.32 |
| M29 | Burton · Away11 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.41 | −0.09 |
| M30 | Sunderland · Home15 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.43 |
| M31 | AFC Wimbledon · Home18 Feb 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.87 | −0.56 |
| M32 | Ipswich · Away22 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.25 |
| M33 | Accrington · Home25 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +2.37 |
| M34 | Southend · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +2.93 |
| M35 | Shrewsbury · Away7 Mar 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.44 |
| Total | 60 | +4.44 | |||