Points
59Points expected by the market
55.12Gap
+3.88Yield
+1.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.29 | +39.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 24 | +2.99 | +11.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 25 | −1.34 | −5.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.29 | +39.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +3.35 | +29.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +3.73 | +40.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.36 | −14.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −5.07 | −32.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fleetwood Town · Home3 Aug 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.55 |
| M2 | Oxford · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.72 |
| M3 | Ipswich · Home17 Aug 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −3.16 |
| M4 | Southend · Away20 Aug 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.75 |
| M5 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.13 |
| M6 | Sunderland · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.45 |
| M7 | Rochdale · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +2.49 |
| M8 | Tranmere · Away17 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.79 | +1.70 |
| M9 | Doncaster · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.30 |
| M10 | AFC Wimbledon · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.88 | +1.18 |
| M11 | Wycombe · Away5 Oct 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.46 | +0.73 |
| M12 | Lincoln · Home12 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.88 |
| M13 | Gillingham · Away19 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +3.28 |
| M14 | Accrington · Home23 Oct 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +4.30 |
| M15 | Coventry · Home26 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.73 | +3.57 |
| M16 | Blackpool · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.50 | +2.07 |
| M17 | Shrewsbury · Away5 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | +0.54 |
| M18 | Burton · Home23 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.12 |
| M19 | Portsmouth · Away7 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | +2.06 |
| M20 | Bolton · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.87 | +2.93 |
| M21 | Bristol Rovers · Away21 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | +2.27 |
| M22 | Doncaster · Home26 Dec 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.81 | +0.46 |
| M23 | Rotherham · Away29 Dec 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.07 | −0.61 |
| M24 | Lincoln · Away1 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.86 |
| M25 | Gillingham · Home11 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.42 |
| M26 | AFC Wimbledon · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.72 | −4.15 |
| M27 | Wycombe · Home21 Jan 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −2.78 |
| M28 | Rotherham · Home25 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.65 | −1.13 |
| M29 | Accrington · Away28 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +0.50 |
| M30 | Ipswich · Away1 Feb 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +2.28 |
| M31 | Oxford · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.60 |
| M32 | Southend · Home11 Feb 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +4.15 |
| M33 | Fleetwood Town · Away15 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | +2.89 |
| M34 | Burton · Away29 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +2.42 |
| M35 | Portsmouth · Home7 Mar 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +3.88 |
| Total | 59 | +3.88 | |||