Points
62Points expected by the market
57.18Gap
+4.82Yield
+13.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.09 | −10.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 25 | −2.38 | −9.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 29 | +7.18 | +46.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.09 | −10.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −3.58 | −27.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +0.96 | +14.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 10 | +1.20 | +25.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 22 | +6.22 | +57.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.07 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | AFC Wimbledon · Away3 Aug 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.49 |
| M2 | Lincoln · Home10 Aug 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −0.19 |
| M3 | Burton · Away17 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.56 |
| M4 | Tranmere · Home31 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.04 | +0.52 |
| M5 | Doncaster · Away7 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.73 |
| M6 | Bolton · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 6-1 | 3 | +0.66 | −0.07 |
| M7 | Sunderland · Away17 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −0.14 |
| M8 | Shrewsbury · Home21 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | −0.96 |
| M9 | Bristol Rovers · Away28 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | −2.42 |
| M10 | Coventry · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −0.92 |
| M11 | Blackpool · Away12 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.68 |
| M12 | Oxford · Home19 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.49 | −0.81 |
| M13 | Ipswich · Away23 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | +1.03 |
| M14 | Wycombe · Home26 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.69 | −0.66 |
| M15 | Gillingham · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +0.80 |
| M16 | Accrington · Home16 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +1.88 |
| M17 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.20 |
| M18 | Portsmouth · Away26 Nov 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.09 | +2.11 |
| M19 | Rochdale · Home7 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | +0.02 |
| M20 | Southend · Away14 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.05 | −1.03 |
| M21 | Fleetwood Town · Home21 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | −1.54 |
| M22 | Shrewsbury · Away26 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +0.15 |
| M23 | Peterborough · Home29 Dec 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.48 |
| M24 | Blackpool · Home1 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.67 |
| M25 | Oxford · Away11 Jan 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +4.45 |
| M26 | Bristol Rovers · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.76 | +5.21 |
| M27 | Peterborough · Away25 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +3.83 |
| M28 | Ipswich · Home28 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +5.29 |
| M29 | Burton · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.12 | +6.42 |
| M30 | Lincoln · Away7 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +7.82 |
| M31 | AFC Wimbledon · Home15 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.33 | +6.49 |
| M32 | Accrington · Away22 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +7.92 |
| M33 | Coventry · Away25 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | +7.72 |
| M34 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home29 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | +6.73 |
| M35 | Rochdale · Away7 Mar 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.90 | +4.82 |
| Total | 62 | +4.82 | |||