Points
41Points expected by the market
44.13Gap
−3.13Yield
−16.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.99 | −67.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 30 | +3.51 | +14.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −2.65 | −58.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.99 | −67.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 18 | +2.31 | +25.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 12 | +1.20 | −1.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −2.65 | −58.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Portsmouth · Home3 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | +1.80 |
| M2 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away10 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | +0.57 |
| M3 | Rochdale · Home17 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | −0.26 |
| M4 | Accrington · Away20 Aug 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +1.34 |
| M5 | Burton · Home24 Aug 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +1.06 |
| M6 | Ipswich · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.93 | +0.13 |
| M7 | AFC Wimbledon · Away14 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | −0.25 |
| M8 | Southend · Home17 Sep 2019 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.78 |
| M9 | Rotherham · Away21 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +0.86 |
| M10 | Fleetwood Town · Home28 Sep 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.25 | −0.39 |
| M11 | Tranmere · Away5 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.24 |
| M12 | Lincoln · Away18 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +1.09 |
| M13 | Gillingham · Home22 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.49 |
| M14 | Sunderland · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.32 |
| M15 | Wycombe · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +1.27 |
| M16 | Peterborough · Home5 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.81 | +3.08 |
| M17 | Bristol Rovers · Home23 Nov 2019 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.70 | +1.38 |
| M18 | Oxford · Away7 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | +1.50 |
| M19 | Coventry · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +3.19 |
| M20 | Blackpool · Away21 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +5.15 |
| M21 | Rotherham · Home26 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +3.76 |
| M22 | Bolton · Away29 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | +3.22 |
| M23 | Doncaster · Away7 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +2.12 |
| M24 | Lincoln · Home11 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | +1.73 |
| M25 | Fleetwood Town · Away18 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | +1.73 |
| M26 | Gillingham · Away29 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.99 | +0.74 |
| M27 | Rochdale · Away1 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.66 |
| M28 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home8 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.56 | −1.22 |
| M29 | Accrington · Home11 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −2.65 |
| M30 | Portsmouth · Away15 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −3.39 |
| M31 | Doncaster · Home22 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.71 | −1.68 |
| M32 | Tranmere · Home25 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.90 | −3.58 |
| M33 | Bristol Rovers · Away29 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | −1.92 |
| M34 | Oxford · Home7 Mar 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.13 |
| Total | 41 | −3.13 | |||