Points
67Points expected by the market
58.69Gap
+8.31Yield
+14.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −2.36 | −10.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 25 | 41 | +8.74 | +24.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 13 | +1.93 | +12.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 13 | −0.59 | +0.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 20 | +4.70 | +21.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +0.97 | +29.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.77 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 21 | +4.03 | +27.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +0.96 | +7.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Peterborough · Home12 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.89 | +1.89 |
| M2 | Burton · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.26 | +0.63 |
| M3 | Oxford · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.31 | −0.68 |
| M4 | AFC Wimbledon · Away3 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.07 |
| M5 | Rochdale · Home10 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +2.48 |
| M6 | Ipswich · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +1.54 |
| M7 | Fleetwood Town · Home20 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +3.25 |
| M8 | Northampton · Away14 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.91 |
| M9 | Swindon · Away17 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +6.63 |
| M10 | Lincoln · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | +6.35 |
| M11 | Crewe · Home24 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +8.14 |
| M12 | Shrewsbury · Away2 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.35 | +7.79 |
| M13 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +9.49 |
| M14 | Wigan · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.77 | +7.72 |
| M15 | Gillingham · Away15 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.47 | +9.19 |
| M16 | Blackpool · Home19 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | +9.08 |
| M17 | Charlton · Away8 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +10.85 |
| M18 | Gillingham · Home16 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.77 | +9.08 |
| M19 | Hull · Away19 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.92 | +8.15 |
| M20 | Hull · Home26 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +10.18 |
| M21 | Plymouth · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +9.99 |
| M22 | Bristol Rovers · Home2 Feb 2021 | W 6-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +11.31 |
| M23 | Northampton · Home6 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | +10.43 |
| M24 | Plymouth · Home9 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.63 | +8.80 |
| M25 | Lincoln · Away14 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.04 | +8.76 |
| M26 | Doncaster · Away17 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +10.52 |
| M27 | Shrewsbury · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +10.05 |
| M28 | Crewe · Away23 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | +8.80 |
| M29 | Fleetwood Town · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.32 | +8.49 |
| M30 | Ipswich · Home2 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.43 | +7.05 |
| M31 | Swindon · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.16 | +8.21 |
| M32 | Bristol Rovers · Away9 Mar 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.39 | +6.82 |
| M33 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.07 | +5.75 |
| M34 | Sunderland · Home17 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | +4.74 |
| M35 | Wigan · Home20 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +6.15 |
| M36 | Peterborough · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.80 | +5.35 |
| M37 | Burton · Home2 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.32 | +5.03 |
| M38 | Oxford · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +7.10 |
| M39 | AFC Wimbledon · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.61 | +5.49 |
| M40 | Blackpool · Away13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.14 | +5.63 |
| M41 | Rochdale · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.35 | +4.28 |
| M42 | Doncaster · Home20 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +5.91 |
| M43 | Sunderland · Away24 Apr 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.27 | +6.17 |
| M44 | Portsmouth · Home27 Apr 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.08 | +6.09 |
| M45 | Charlton · Home1 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +6.05 |
| M46 | Portsmouth · Away9 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +8.31 |
| Total | 67 | +8.31 | |||