← League One 2020-21

AFC Wimbledon

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5WDDLD

Points

Points expected by the market

52.46

Gap

−1.46

Yield

−21.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	4	3.39	+0.61	−4.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	24	33	30.76	+2.24	+10.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	20	14	18.31	−4.31	−59.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	4	3.39	+0.61	−4.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	18	19.34	−1.34	−3.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	6	4	5.74	−1.74	−38.2%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	15	11.42	+3.58	+31.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	14	10	12.57	−2.57	−69.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Northampton · Away12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	D 2-2	3.03	1.22	1	−0.22	−0.22	−€1.00
M2	Plymouth · Home19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	D 4-4	2.58	1.38	1	−0.38	−0.59	−€1.00
M3	Fleetwood Town · Away26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	W 1-0	4.31	0.91	3	+2.09	+1.50	+€3.31
M4	Accrington · Home3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	L 1-2	2.39	1.47	0	−1.47	+0.04	−€1.00
M5	Swindon · Away10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	W 1-0	3.05	1.20	3	+1.80	+1.84	+€2.05
M6	Shrewsbury · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	L 0-1	2.80	1.31	0	−1.31	+0.52	−€1.00
M7	Hull · Away20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	L 0-1	4.39	0.90	0	−0.90	−0.38	−€1.00
M8	Burton · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	D 1-1	2.59	1.38	1	−0.38	−0.76	−€1.00
M9	Blackpool · Home27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	W 1-0	3.21	1.18	3	+1.82	+1.06	+€2.21
M10	Milton Keynes Dons · Away31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	D 1-1	4.11	0.96	1	+0.04	+1.11	−€1.00
M11	Doncaster · Home3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	D 2-2	3.43	1.10	1	−0.10	+1.01	−€1.00
M12	Rochdale · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	W 1-0	2.82	1.29	3	+1.71	+2.72	+€1.82
M13	Gillingham · Away24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	L 1-2	2.82	1.29	0	−1.29	+1.43	−€1.00
M14	Peterborough · Home2 Dec 2020	2 Dec 2020	W 2-1	3.71	1.03	3	+1.97	+3.40	+€2.71
M15	Bristol Rovers · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	L 2-4	2.51	1.41	0	−1.41	+1.98	−€1.00
M16	Charlton · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	L 2-5	3.83	1.01	0	−1.01	+0.97	−€1.00
M17	Sunderland · Away15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	D 1-1	5.56	0.75	1	+0.25	+1.22	−€1.00
M18	Crewe · Home19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	L 1-2	3.70	1.03	0	−1.03	+0.19	−€1.00
M19	Oxford · Away26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	L 0-2	4.86	0.83	0	−0.83	−0.64	−€1.00
M20	Lincoln · Home2 Jan 2021	2 Jan 2021	L 1-2	4.45	0.89	0	−0.89	−1.53	−€1.00
M21	Sunderland · Home16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	L 0-3	4.23	0.94	0	−0.94	−2.47	−€1.00
M22	Portsmouth · Away19 Jan 2021	19 Jan 2021	L 0-4	6.14	0.69	0	−0.69	−3.16	−€1.00
M23	Crewe · Away23 Jan 2021	23 Jan 2021	D 1-1	4.57	0.86	1	+0.14	−3.03	−€1.00
M24	Doncaster · Away26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	L 0-2	4.18	0.95	0	−0.95	−3.98	−€1.00
M25	Milton Keynes Dons · Home30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	L 0-2	3.47	1.09	0	−1.09	−5.07	−€1.00
M26	Wigan · Away6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	W 3-2	2.59	1.38	3	+1.62	−3.45	+€1.59
M27	Peterborough · Away20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	L 0-3	5.08	0.80	0	−0.80	−4.25	−€1.00
M28	Gillingham · Home23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	W 1-0	2.79	1.29	3	+1.71	−2.54	+€1.79
M29	Hull · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	L 0-3	4.57	0.88	0	−0.88	−3.42	−€1.00
M30	Shrewsbury · Away2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	D 1-1	3.86	1.02	1	−0.02	−3.44	−€1.00
M31	Blackpool · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	D 1-1	5.13	0.81	1	+0.19	−3.25	−€1.00
M32	Burton · Home9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	L 0-1	2.70	1.33	0	−1.33	−4.58	−€1.00
M33	Bristol Rovers · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	D 0-0	3.74	1.03	1	−0.03	−4.60	−€1.00
M34	Wigan · Home16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	D 1-1	2.57	1.39	1	−0.39	−4.99	−€1.00
M35	Charlton · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	D 2-2	3.99	0.97	1	+0.03	−4.97	−€1.00
M36	Northampton · Home27 Mar 2021	27 Mar 2021	W 1-0	2.66	1.38	3	+1.62	−3.34	+€1.66
M37	Plymouth · Away2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	L 0-1	3.37	1.12	0	−1.12	−4.46	−€1.00
M38	Fleetwood Town · Home5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	L 0-1	2.97	1.25	0	−1.25	−5.71	−€1.00
M39	Accrington · Away10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	W 5-1	3.38	1.11	3	+1.89	−3.82	+€2.38
M40	Ipswich · Home13 Apr 2021	13 Apr 2021	W 3-0	2.93	1.27	3	+1.73	−2.09	+€1.93
M41	Swindon · Home17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	W 4-1	1.92	1.74	3	+1.26	−0.83	+€0.92
M42	Oxford · Home20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	W 2-1	2.96	1.23	3	+1.77	+0.94	+€1.96
M43	Ipswich · Away24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	D 0-0	2.47	1.44	1	−0.44	+0.50	−€1.00
M44	Rochdale · Home27 Apr 2021	27 Apr 2021	D 3-3	2.05	1.65	1	−0.65	−0.15	−€1.00
M45	Portsmouth · Home1 May 2021	1 May 2021	L 1-3	2.86	1.27	0	−1.27	−1.42	−€1.00
M46	Lincoln · Away9 May 2021	9 May 2021	D 0-0	3.58	1.04	1	−0.04	−1.46	−€1.00
Total					52.46	51	−1.46		−€9.67