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← League One 2020-21

Burton

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5LDWDL

Points

57

Points expected by the market

54.47

Gap

+2.53

Yield

+4.4%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 5 4 8.10 −4.10 −56.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 25 31 31.89 −0.89 −16.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 16 22 14.47 +7.53 +56.6%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Fleetwood Town · Away12 Sep 2020 12 Sep 2020 L 1-2 3.73 1.03 0 −1.03 −1.03 −€1.00
M2 Accrington · Home19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 W 2-1 2.40 1.46 3 +1.54 +0.51 +€1.40
M3 Swindon · Away26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 L 2-4 3.09 1.18 0 −1.18 −0.67 −€1.00
M4 Portsmouth · Home3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 L 2-4 3.76 1.02 0 −1.02 −1.69 −€1.00
M5 Plymouth · Away10 Oct 2020 10 Oct 2020 L 0-2 3.43 1.07 0 −1.07 −2.76 −€1.00
M6 Bristol Rovers · Away17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 D 1-1 3.07 1.20 1 −0.20 −2.95 −€1.00
M7 Rochdale · Home20 Oct 2020 20 Oct 2020 L 0-1 2.12 1.61 0 −1.61 −4.56 −€1.00
M8 AFC Wimbledon · Home24 Oct 2020 24 Oct 2020 D 1-1 2.68 1.34 1 −0.34 −4.90 −€1.00
M9 Peterborough · Away27 Oct 2020 27 Oct 2020 D 2-2 5.18 0.78 1 +0.22 −4.68 −€1.00
M10 Blackpool · Home31 Oct 2020 31 Oct 2020 L 1-2 2.83 1.28 0 −1.28 −5.96 −€1.00
M11 Shrewsbury · Away3 Nov 2020 3 Nov 2020 D 1-1 3.10 1.20 1 −0.20 −6.17 −€1.00
M12 Hull · Away14 Nov 2020 14 Nov 2020 L 0-2 6.15 0.67 0 −0.67 −6.84 −€1.00
M13 Northampton · Home21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 L 1-3 2.10 1.62 0 −1.62 −8.46 −€1.00
M14 Charlton · Home24 Nov 2020 24 Nov 2020 W 4-2 3.58 1.07 3 +1.93 −6.53 +€2.58
M15 Sunderland · Away1 Dec 2020 1 Dec 2020 D 1-1 5.49 0.75 1 +0.25 −6.28 −€1.00
M16 Crewe · Home5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 D 1-1 3.35 1.11 1 −0.11 −6.39 −€1.00
M17 Milton Keynes Dons · Away12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 D 1-1 4.25 0.92 1 +0.08 −6.31 −€1.00
M18 Ipswich · Away15 Dec 2020 15 Dec 2020 L 1-2 3.29 1.13 0 −1.13 −7.44 −€1.00
M19 Doncaster · Home19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 L 1-3 3.19 1.16 0 −1.16 −8.60 −€1.00
M20 Lincoln · Away26 Dec 2020 26 Dec 2020 L 1-5 4.61 0.86 0 −0.86 −9.46 −€1.00
M21 Wigan · Home29 Dec 2020 29 Dec 2020 L 3-4 2.07 1.64 0 −1.64 −11.10 −€1.00
M22 Oxford · Home2 Jan 2021 2 Jan 2021 L 1-5 3.39 1.10 0 −1.10 −12.20 −€1.00
M23 Gillingham · Away9 Jan 2021 9 Jan 2021 W 1-0 3.00 1.21 3 +1.79 −10.41 +€2.00
M24 Ipswich · Home16 Jan 2021 16 Jan 2021 L 0-1 3.33 1.13 0 −1.13 −11.54 −€1.00
M25 Hull · Home6 Feb 2021 6 Feb 2021 W 1-0 5.17 0.78 3 +2.22 −9.32 +€4.17
M26 Northampton · Away13 Feb 2021 13 Feb 2021 W 2-0 2.57 1.39 3 +1.61 −7.70 +€1.57
M27 Sunderland · Home20 Feb 2021 20 Feb 2021 L 0-3 4.07 0.97 0 −0.97 −8.67 −€1.00
M28 Charlton · Away23 Feb 2021 23 Feb 2021 W 2-1 4.25 0.93 3 +2.07 −6.61 +€3.25
M29 Rochdale · Away27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 W 2-0 2.31 1.49 3 +1.51 −5.10 +€1.31
M30 Bristol Rovers · Home2 Mar 2021 2 Mar 2021 W 1-0 2.32 1.49 3 +1.51 −3.59 +€1.32
M31 Peterborough · Home6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 W 2-1 3.98 0.98 3 +2.02 −1.57 +€2.98
M32 AFC Wimbledon · Away9 Mar 2021 9 Mar 2021 W 1-0 2.58 1.38 3 +1.62 +0.05 +€1.58
M33 Crewe · Away13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 W 3-0 3.86 1.00 3 +2.00 +2.04 +€2.86
M34 Blackpool · Away16 Mar 2021 16 Mar 2021 D 1-1 3.89 1.02 1 −0.02 +2.03 −€1.00
M35 Milton Keynes Dons · Home20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 L 1-2 2.90 1.25 0 −1.25 +0.78 −€1.00
M36 Shrewsbury · Home23 Mar 2021 23 Mar 2021 L 1-2 2.30 1.53 0 −1.53 −0.75 −€1.00
M37 Accrington · Away2 Apr 2021 2 Apr 2021 D 0-0 2.53 1.39 1 −0.39 −1.14 −€1.00
M38 Swindon · Home5 Apr 2021 5 Apr 2021 W 2-1 2.16 1.59 3 +1.41 +0.26 +€1.16
M39 Portsmouth · Away10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 W 2-1 4.21 0.95 3 +2.05 +2.31 +€3.21
M40 Doncaster · Away13 Apr 2021 13 Apr 2021 W 3-0 2.94 1.25 3 +1.75 +4.06 +€1.94
M41 Plymouth · Home17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 D 1-1 2.05 1.65 1 −0.65 +3.42 −€1.00
M42 Lincoln · Home20 Apr 2021 20 Apr 2021 L 0-1 3.02 1.22 0 −1.22 +2.20 −€1.00
M43 Wigan · Away24 Apr 2021 24 Apr 2021 D 1-1 3.40 1.12 1 −0.12 +2.08 −€1.00
M44 Fleetwood Town · Home27 Apr 2021 27 Apr 2021 W 5-2 2.68 1.36 3 +1.64 +3.72 +€1.68
M45 Gillingham · Home1 May 2021 1 May 2021 D 1-1 2.38 1.46 1 −0.46 +3.26 −€1.00
M46 Oxford · Away9 May 2021 9 May 2021 L 0-4 5.48 0.73 0 −0.73 +2.53 −€1.00
Total 54.47 57 +2.53 +€2.01