Points
74Points expected by the market
69.15Gap
+4.85Yield
+9.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 23 | 40 | +0.41 | −13.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 27 | +0.31 | +7.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 7 | +4.12 | +197.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 21 | −1.82 | −23.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 9 | −3.53 | −15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +2.24 | −0.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 18 | +3.84 | +26.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 6 | +4.20 | +346.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crewe · Away12 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.63 | +1.63 |
| M2 | Doncaster · Home19 Sep 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.45 | +0.18 |
| M3 | Lincoln · Away27 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −1.07 |
| M4 | Sunderland · Home3 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −1.14 |
| M5 | Wigan · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.23 |
| M6 | Blackpool · Away20 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | +2.14 |
| M7 | Northampton · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.57 |
| M8 | Oxford · Home27 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +5.26 |
| M9 | Portsmouth · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.14 | +7.40 |
| M10 | Fleetwood Town · Home3 Nov 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +8.99 |
| M11 | Gillingham · Away21 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +8.36 |
| M12 | Burton · Away24 Nov 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.65 | +6.70 |
| M13 | Ipswich · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +8.28 |
| M14 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home2 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | +6.88 |
| M15 | Shrewsbury · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.42 | +6.46 |
| M16 | AFC Wimbledon · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.29 | +7.75 |
| M17 | Swindon · Away19 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.61 | +7.14 |
| M18 | Plymouth · Home26 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | +6.45 |
| M19 | Hull · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +5.35 |
| M20 | Accrington · Home8 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.49 | +3.86 |
| M21 | Rochdale · Home12 Jan 2021 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.88 | +2.97 |
| M22 | Bristol Rovers · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +4.38 |
| M23 | Peterborough · Away19 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +3.26 |
| M24 | Swindon · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +2.39 |
| M25 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away26 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.11 |
| M26 | Portsmouth · Home2 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.30 | +2.81 |
| M27 | Rochdale · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +4.03 |
| M28 | Gillingham · Home13 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.74 | +2.29 |
| M29 | Fleetwood Town · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.41 | +1.88 |
| M30 | Burton · Home23 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.79 | +0.09 |
| M31 | Blackpool · Home27 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.33 |
| M32 | Wigan · Away2 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +0.02 |
| M33 | Oxford · Away6 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.26 |
| M34 | Northampton · Home9 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.02 |
| M35 | Shrewsbury · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.75 | +0.27 |
| M36 | Bristol Rovers · Home16 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.32 | +1.59 |
| M37 | AFC Wimbledon · Away20 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.76 | +0.84 |
| M38 | Doncaster · Away2 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +2.41 |
| M39 | Sunderland · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +4.47 |
| M40 | Ipswich · Home17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +3.80 |
| M41 | Plymouth · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +4.99 |
| M42 | Peterborough · Home24 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +3.72 |
| M43 | Crewe · Home27 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.00 | +2.72 |
| M44 | Accrington · Away1 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +2.02 |
| M45 | Lincoln · Home4 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +3.34 |
| M46 | Hull · Home9 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +4.85 |
| Total | 74 | +4.85 | |||