Points
66Points expected by the market
65.53Gap
+0.47Yield
−6.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 28 | +1.75 | +0.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 34 | −1.61 | −11.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.34 | −2.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 19 | +2.78 | +22.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 18 | −1.07 | −28.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.03 | −30.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −0.55 | +6.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.34 | −2.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Charlton · Home12 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −1.35 |
| M2 | Hull · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −2.37 |
| M3 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home26 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | −0.81 |
| M4 | Wigan · Home10 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.55 |
| M5 | Blackpool · Home17 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.12 |
| M6 | Sunderland · Away20 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.77 |
| M7 | Doncaster · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.24 |
| M8 | Lincoln · Home27 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.05 |
| M9 | Ipswich · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.20 |
| M10 | Gillingham · Home3 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.75 | −2.96 |
| M11 | Peterborough · Home14 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.81 | −1.15 |
| M12 | Oxford · Away17 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +0.61 |
| M13 | Portsmouth · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.14 | −0.53 |
| M14 | Accrington · Away24 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.04 |
| M15 | Swindon · Home1 Dec 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.82 |
| M16 | Burton · Away5 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.45 |
| M17 | Northampton · Home12 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −0.47 |
| M18 | Plymouth · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.11 | +0.65 |
| M19 | AFC Wimbledon · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.94 |
| M20 | Fleetwood Town · Home26 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | +1.44 |
| M21 | Rochdale · Away9 Jan 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.88 | +0.56 |
| M22 | Plymouth · Away16 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | +0.01 |
| M23 | Bristol Rovers · Home19 Jan 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.04 | +1.05 |
| M24 | AFC Wimbledon · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.89 | +0.15 |
| M25 | Gillingham · Away26 Jan 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.33 |
| M26 | Ipswich · Home30 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.86 |
| M27 | Shrewsbury · Away2 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.64 | −0.22 |
| M28 | Peterborough · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −1.37 |
| M29 | Swindon · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.72 | −3.08 |
| M30 | Accrington · Home23 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −1.56 |
| M31 | Sunderland · Home27 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −1.75 |
| M32 | Blackpool · Away2 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −1.90 |
| M33 | Lincoln · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −3.10 |
| M34 | Doncaster · Home9 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.43 | −1.67 |
| M35 | Burton · Home13 Mar 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.72 | −3.39 |
| M36 | Northampton · Away20 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −1.92 |
| M37 | Hull · Home2 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −3.10 |
| M38 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away5 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.72 | −1.37 |
| M39 | Oxford · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.46 | −2.83 |
| M40 | Portsmouth · Home13 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −3.01 |
| M41 | Wigan · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.20 | −4.20 |
| M42 | Fleetwood Town · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −2.36 |
| M43 | Rochdale · Home24 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −2.65 |
| M44 | Charlton · Away27 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.24 | −2.41 |
| M45 | Bristol Rovers · Away1 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.97 |
| M46 | Shrewsbury · Home9 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.47 |
| Total | 66 | +0.47 | |||