← League One 2020-21

Fleetwood Town

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5LWLDL

Points

Points expected by the market

65.24

Gap

−5.24

Yield

−15.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	11	13	19.70	−6.70	−45.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	30	43	40.81	+2.19	−2.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	4	4.73	−0.73	−28.4%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	7	9	12.83	−3.83	−42.7%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	26	20.87	+5.13	+14.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	0	1.10	−1.10	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	4	6.87	−2.87	−50.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	17	19.94	−2.94	−18.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	4	3.63	+0.37	−10.5%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Burton · Home12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	W 2-1	1.98	1.70	3	+1.30	+1.30	+€0.98
M2	Peterborough · Away19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	L 1-2	3.08	1.20	0	−1.20	+0.10	−€1.00
M3	AFC Wimbledon · Home26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	L 0-1	1.77	1.84	0	−1.84	−1.74	−€1.00
M4	Rochdale · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	L 1-2	1.88	1.76	0	−1.76	−3.50	−€1.00
M5	Hull · Home9 Oct 2020	9 Oct 2020	W 4-1	3.03	1.20	3	+1.80	−1.70	+€2.03
M6	Lincoln · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	D 0-0	2.31	1.50	1	−0.50	−2.20	−€1.00
M7	Accrington · Away20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	L 0-1	2.52	1.41	0	−1.41	−3.61	−€1.00
M8	Gillingham · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	W 2-0	2.28	1.53	3	+1.47	−2.14	+€1.28
M9	Shrewsbury · Home27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	W 1-0	2.23	1.55	3	+1.45	−0.69	+€1.23
M10	Oxford · Home31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	W 2-0	2.42	1.46	3	+1.54	+0.85	+€1.42
M11	Charlton · Away3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	L 2-3	2.85	1.29	0	−1.29	−0.44	−€1.00
M12	Bristol Rovers · Away14 Nov 2020	14 Nov 2020	W 4-1	2.21	1.56	3	+1.44	+1.00	+€1.21
M13	Plymouth · Home21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	W 5-1	2.23	1.54	3	+1.46	+2.46	+€1.23
M14	Sunderland · Home27 Nov 2020	27 Nov 2020	D 1-1	2.87	1.29	1	−0.29	+2.17	−€1.00
M15	Northampton · Away1 Dec 2020	1 Dec 2020	L 0-1	1.90	1.75	0	−1.75	+0.42	−€1.00
M16	Blackpool · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	L 0-1	2.72	1.34	0	−1.34	−0.92	−€1.00
M17	Swindon · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	W 1-0	1.97	1.70	3	+1.30	+0.38	+€0.97
M18	Portsmouth · Away15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	D 0-0	4.23	0.93	1	+0.07	+0.45	−€1.00
M19	Wigan · Home19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	D 1-1	1.57	2.04	1	−1.04	−0.59	−€1.00
M20	Crewe · Away26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	D 1-1	3.06	1.21	1	−0.21	−0.80	−€1.00
M21	Portsmouth · Home16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	L 0-1	3.22	1.16	0	−1.16	−1.96	−€1.00
M22	Milton Keynes Dons · Away19 Jan 2021	19 Jan 2021	L 1-3	3.06	1.21	0	−1.21	−3.17	−€1.00
M23	Wigan · Away23 Jan 2021	23 Jan 2021	D 0-0	2.02	1.66	1	−0.66	−3.84	−€1.00
M24	Northampton · Home26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	D 0-0	1.80	1.84	1	−0.84	−4.68	−€1.00
M25	Oxford · Away30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	L 0-1	3.29	1.16	0	−1.16	−5.84	−€1.00
M26	Bristol Rovers · Home6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	D 0-0	1.87	1.77	1	−0.77	−6.61	−€1.00
M27	Doncaster · Home9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	W 3-1	2.52	1.42	3	+1.58	−5.03	+€1.52
M28	Plymouth · Away13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	L 0-1	2.62	1.36	0	−1.36	−6.39	−€1.00
M29	Charlton · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	D 1-1	2.82	1.29	1	−0.29	−6.68	−€1.00
M30	Sunderland · Away23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	L 0-2	4.38	0.92	0	−0.92	−7.60	−€1.00
M31	Accrington · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	D 1-1	2.65	1.37	1	−0.37	−7.97	−€1.00
M32	Lincoln · Away2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	W 2-1	3.58	1.07	3	+1.93	−6.05	+€2.58
M33	Shrewsbury · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	W 2-0	2.74	1.34	3	+1.66	−4.38	+€1.74
M34	Gillingham · Home9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	W 1-0	2.22	1.56	3	+1.44	−2.95	+€1.22
M35	Blackpool · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	D 0-0	3.15	1.19	1	−0.19	−3.14	−€1.00
M36	Ipswich · Home16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	W 2-0	2.51	1.44	3	+1.56	−1.58	+€1.51
M37	Swindon · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	L 0-2	1.65	1.97	0	−1.97	−3.55	−€1.00
M38	Peterborough · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	L 0-1	3.53	1.10	0	−1.10	−4.65	−€1.00
M39	AFC Wimbledon · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.45	1.45	3	+1.55	−3.09	+€1.45
M40	Rochdale · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.03	1.68	3	+1.32	−1.77	+€1.03
M41	Hull · Away17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	L 1-2	6.25	0.71	0	−0.71	−2.48	−€1.00
M42	Crewe · Home20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	L 0-2	2.23	1.55	0	−1.55	−4.03	−€1.00
M43	Doncaster · Away24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.55	1.40	3	+1.60	−2.43	+€1.55
M44	Burton · Away27 Apr 2021	27 Apr 2021	L 2-5	2.75	1.33	0	−1.33	−3.77	−€1.00
M45	Milton Keynes Dons · Home1 May 2021	1 May 2021	D 1-1	3.12	1.18	1	−0.18	−3.95	−€1.00
M46	Ipswich · Away9 May 2021	9 May 2021	L 1-3	2.83	1.29	0	−1.29	−5.24	−€1.00
Total					65.24	60	−5.24		−€7.05