Points
67Points expected by the market
55.42Gap
+11.58Yield
+26.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +5.42 | +47.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 28 | +3.18 | +21.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 22 | +2.98 | +24.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 14 | +3.97 | +35.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +2.30 | +30.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.92 | −41.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.44 | +119.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 11 | +0.89 | +9.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 18 | +4.90 | +52.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hull · Home12 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.40 |
| M2 | Wigan · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.79 | +0.39 |
| M3 | Blackpool · Home26 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.92 | +2.31 |
| M4 | Shrewsbury · Away3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | +2.17 |
| M5 | Oxford · Home10 Oct 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +3.95 |
| M6 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.00 | +2.95 |
| M7 | Portsmouth · Home20 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +2.06 |
| M8 | Fleetwood Town · Home24 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.87 |
| M9 | Ipswich · Away27 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.03 |
| M10 | Sunderland · Home31 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.86 |
| M11 | Crewe · Away3 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.16 |
| M12 | Charlton · Home21 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.09 | +1.07 |
| M13 | AFC Wimbledon · Home24 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +2.66 |
| M14 | Bristol Rovers · Away2 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.77 | +4.43 |
| M15 | Swindon · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +5.84 |
| M16 | Doncaster · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +4.87 |
| M17 | Accrington · Home15 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +3.68 |
| M18 | Rochdale · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +5.34 |
| M19 | Northampton · Away29 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.36 | +3.98 |
| M20 | Plymouth · Away2 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.93 |
| M21 | Burton · Home9 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | +1.41 |
| M22 | Accrington · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.03 | +3.44 |
| M23 | Rochdale · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | +2.69 |
| M24 | Crewe · Home26 Jan 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +4.45 |
| M25 | Sunderland · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.22 | +4.68 |
| M26 | Lincoln · Home5 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +3.70 |
| M27 | Charlton · Away13 Feb 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.01 | +5.71 |
| M28 | Peterborough · Home16 Feb 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.06 | +4.65 |
| M29 | Bristol Rovers · Home20 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.39 | +6.04 |
| M30 | AFC Wimbledon · Away23 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.43 | +4.61 |
| M31 | Portsmouth · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +4.80 |
| M32 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home2 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | +6.53 |
| M33 | Ipswich · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +8.31 |
| M34 | Fleetwood Town · Away9 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.14 | +7.17 |
| M35 | Swindon · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.44 | +8.61 |
| M36 | Lincoln · Away16 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +10.57 |
| M37 | Doncaster · Home20 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +10.05 |
| M38 | Hull · Away27 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.17 | +10.23 |
| M39 | Wigan · Home31 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +11.56 |
| M40 | Blackpool · Away5 Apr 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.07 | +10.49 |
| M41 | Shrewsbury · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | +9.95 |
| M42 | Oxford · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | +8.97 |
| M43 | Peterborough · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.29 | +11.25 |
| M44 | Northampton · Home24 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +10.63 |
| M45 | Burton · Away1 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +10.36 |
| M46 | Plymouth · Home9 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.22 | +11.58 |
| Total | 67 | +11.58 | |||