Points
69Points expected by the market
64.62Gap
+4.38Yield
−2.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 33 | +9.33 | +43.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 29 | −4.86 | −27.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.94 | −10.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.85 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 25 | +7.80 | +57.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 13 | −1.23 | −31.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.05 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.53 | +6.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 16 | −3.62 | −25.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +0.11 | +12.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Wigan · Home13 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | +1.12 |
| M2 | Bristol Rovers · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +2.50 |
| M3 | Rochdale · Home26 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.85 | +3.35 |
| M4 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.61 | +2.74 |
| M5 | Blackpool · Away10 Oct 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.76 | +4.50 |
| M6 | Accrington · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +5.70 |
| M7 | Doncaster · Away20 Oct 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.25 | +4.46 |
| M8 | Lincoln · Away24 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | +3.26 |
| M9 | Gillingham · Home27 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +4.43 |
| M10 | Crewe · Home31 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +5.86 |
| M11 | Sunderland · Away3 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +4.96 |
| M12 | Shrewsbury · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +6.36 |
| M13 | Hull · Home24 Nov 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.18 | +5.17 |
| M14 | Charlton · Home28 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.28 | +3.90 |
| M15 | Oxford · Away1 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | +3.81 |
| M16 | Plymouth · Away5 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +5.63 |
| M17 | Portsmouth · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +4.58 |
| M18 | Burton · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +5.99 |
| M19 | Swindon · Home9 Jan 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.67 | +4.32 |
| M20 | Burton · Away16 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | +5.73 |
| M21 | Peterborough · Home23 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | +4.60 |
| M22 | Sunderland · Home26 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.45 |
| M23 | Crewe · Away30 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | +3.27 |
| M24 | Blackpool · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +4.89 |
| M25 | Peterborough · Away9 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +3.71 |
| M26 | Northampton · Home16 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +2.87 |
| M27 | Oxford · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.27 | +2.60 |
| M28 | Hull · Away23 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.10 | +4.70 |
| M29 | Doncaster · Home27 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +6.25 |
| M30 | Accrington · Away2 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +7.98 |
| M31 | Gillingham · Away6 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.48 | +6.50 |
| M32 | Lincoln · Home9 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | +6.17 |
| M33 | Plymouth · Home13 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.33 | +7.51 |
| M34 | Fleetwood Town · Away16 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.23 | +6.27 |
| M35 | Portsmouth · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +5.22 |
| M36 | Wigan · Away27 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | +4.65 |
| M37 | Bristol Rovers · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +5.90 |
| M38 | Rochdale · Away5 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | +5.25 |
| M39 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.39 | +4.86 |
| M40 | AFC Wimbledon · Away13 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.42 | +3.45 |
| M41 | Charlton · Away17 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.04 | +3.40 |
| M42 | Northampton · Away20 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.93 |
| M43 | AFC Wimbledon · Home24 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.25 | +1.68 |
| M44 | Swindon · Away1 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +3.11 |
| M45 | Shrewsbury · Away4 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +2.80 |
| M46 | Fleetwood Town · Home9 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +4.38 |
| Total | 69 | +4.38 | |||