← League One 2020-21

Milton Keynes Dons

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5WWWDL

Points

Points expected by the market

67.49

Gap

−2.49

Yield

−7.0%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	16	34	28.38	+5.62	+16.8%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	26	24	35.35	−11.35	−40.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	7	3.75	+3.25	+113.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	27	21.54	+5.46	+23.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	11	10	14.73	−4.73	−48.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	4	7	6.84	+0.16	−2.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	14	20.63	−6.63	−34.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	7	3.75	+3.25	+113.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Doncaster · Away12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	D 1-1	3.62	1.07	1	−0.07	−0.07	−€1.00
M2	Lincoln · Home19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	L 1-2	2.45	1.44	0	−1.44	−1.51	−€1.00
M3	Crewe · Away26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	L 0-2	2.83	1.28	0	−1.28	−2.79	−€1.00
M4	Ipswich · Home3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	D 1-1	3.43	1.11	1	−0.11	−2.89	−€1.00
M5	Portsmouth · Away10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	L 1-2	5.15	0.79	0	−0.79	−3.69	−€1.00
M6	Gillingham · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	W 2-0	1.93	1.73	3	+1.27	−2.42	+€0.93
M7	Oxford · Away20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	L 2-3	2.80	1.29	0	−1.29	−3.71	−€1.00
M8	Blackpool · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	L 0-1	2.83	1.29	0	−1.29	−5.00	−€1.00
M9	Wigan · Home27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	W 2-0	1.73	1.88	3	+1.12	−3.88	+€0.73
M10	AFC Wimbledon · Home31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	D 1-1	1.88	1.77	1	−0.77	−4.65	−€1.00
M11	Northampton · Away3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	D 0-0	1.94	1.73	1	−0.73	−5.37	−€1.00
M12	Sunderland · Away14 Nov 2020	14 Nov 2020	W 2-1	4.80	0.85	3	+2.15	−3.22	+€3.80
M13	Hull · Home21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	L 1-3	2.81	1.30	0	−1.30	−4.52	−€1.00
M14	Shrewsbury · Home24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	D 2-2	2.00	1.69	1	−0.69	−5.21	−€1.00
M15	Charlton · Away2 Dec 2020	2 Dec 2020	W 1-0	2.80	1.30	3	+1.70	−3.52	+€1.80
M16	Accrington · Away5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	L 1-2	2.53	1.41	0	−1.41	−4.92	−€1.00
M17	Burton · Home12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	D 1-1	1.79	1.83	1	−0.83	−5.75	−€1.00
M18	Peterborough · Home15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	D 1-1	2.37	1.47	1	−0.47	−6.23	−€1.00
M19	Plymouth · Away19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	L 0-1	2.23	1.52	0	−1.52	−7.75	−€1.00
M20	Bristol Rovers · Home26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	W 2-0	1.83	1.80	3	+1.20	−6.55	+€0.83
M21	Swindon · Away29 Dec 2020	29 Dec 2020	W 4-1	2.20	1.58	3	+1.42	−5.12	+€1.20
M22	Peterborough · Away16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	L 0-3	3.12	1.18	0	−1.18	−6.30	−€1.00
M23	Fleetwood Town · Home19 Jan 2021	19 Jan 2021	W 3-1	2.35	1.49	3	+1.51	−4.79	+€1.35
M24	Charlton · Home26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	L 0-1	2.43	1.44	0	−1.44	−6.23	−€1.00
M25	AFC Wimbledon · Away30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	W 2-0	2.09	1.63	3	+1.37	−4.86	+€1.09
M26	Sunderland · Home6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	D 2-2	3.09	1.21	1	−0.21	−5.07	−€1.00
M27	Rochdale · Away9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	W 4-1	1.81	1.80	3	+1.20	−3.87	+€0.81
M28	Hull · Away13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	W 1-0	3.72	1.04	3	+1.96	−1.91	+€2.72
M29	Northampton · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	W 4-3	1.77	1.85	3	+1.15	−0.77	+€0.77
M30	Shrewsbury · Away23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	L 2-4	2.63	1.37	0	−1.37	−2.14	−€1.00
M31	Oxford · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	D 1-1	2.64	1.34	1	−0.34	−2.48	−€1.00
M32	Gillingham · Away2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	L 2-3	2.40	1.45	0	−1.45	−3.93	−€1.00
M33	Wigan · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	L 0-3	1.98	1.69	0	−1.69	−5.62	−€1.00
M34	Blackpool · Home9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	L 0-1	2.65	1.35	0	−1.35	−6.97	−€1.00
M35	Accrington · Home13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	W 3-2	2.01	1.67	3	+1.33	−5.63	+€1.01
M36	Plymouth · Home16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	W 2-1	1.84	1.78	3	+1.22	−4.41	+€0.84
M37	Burton · Away20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	W 2-1	2.36	1.47	3	+1.53	−2.88	+€1.36
M38	Doncaster · Home27 Mar 2021	27 Mar 2021	W 1-0	2.08	1.62	3	+1.38	−1.51	+€1.08
M39	Crewe · Home5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	L 0-2	2.38	1.45	0	−1.45	−2.96	−€1.00
M40	Ipswich · Away10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	D 0-0	2.79	1.31	1	−0.31	−3.27	−€1.00
M41	Lincoln · Away13 Apr 2021	13 Apr 2021	L 0-4	2.90	1.24	0	−1.24	−4.51	−€1.00
M42	Portsmouth · Home17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	W 1-0	3.37	1.12	3	+1.88	−2.63	+€2.37
M43	Bristol Rovers · Away20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	W 2-0	2.51	1.40	3	+1.60	−1.03	+€1.51
M44	Swindon · Home24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	W 5-0	1.59	2.01	3	+0.99	−0.04	+€0.59
M45	Fleetwood Town · Away1 May 2021	1 May 2021	D 1-1	2.23	1.54	1	−0.54	−0.58	−€1.00
M46	Rochdale · Home9 May 2021	9 May 2021	L 0-3	1.69	1.91	0	−1.91	−2.49	−€1.00
Total					67.49	65	−2.49		−€3.21