Points
45Points expected by the market
49.20Gap
−4.20Yield
−22.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.62 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 24 | −0.75 | +6.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 20 | −2.83 | −40.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.62 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 17 | +0.13 | +10.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 11 | +2.22 | +27.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 7 | −0.89 | −3.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 9 | −5.05 | −76.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | AFC Wimbledon · Home12 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.50 | −0.50 |
| M2 | Shrewsbury · Away19 Sep 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.01 | +1.52 |
| M3 | Hull · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | +0.42 |
| M4 | Bristol Rovers · Away3 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −0.99 |
| M5 | Peterborough · Home10 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.83 | −1.82 |
| M6 | Plymouth · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.71 |
| M7 | Swindon · Home20 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.79 | −0.92 |
| M8 | Charlton · Home24 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −2.07 |
| M9 | Portsmouth · Away27 Oct 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.56 | −2.63 |
| M10 | Wigan · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.56 | −1.07 |
| M11 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home3 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | −1.08 |
| M12 | Accrington · Home14 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.37 | −2.44 |
| M13 | Burton · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.89 | −0.56 |
| M14 | Rochdale · Away24 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.79 |
| M15 | Fleetwood Town · Home1 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | +1.23 |
| M16 | Doncaster · Home5 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.16 |
| M17 | Crewe · Away12 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −0.59 |
| M18 | Oxford · Away15 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.34 |
| M19 | Lincoln · Home19 Dec 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.25 |
| M20 | Gillingham · Home29 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −0.60 |
| M21 | Sunderland · Home2 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | −0.38 |
| M22 | Lincoln · Away23 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −1.08 |
| M23 | Fleetwood Town · Away26 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.12 | −0.97 |
| M24 | Blackpool · Away2 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.81 |
| M25 | Accrington · Away6 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −1.68 |
| M26 | Wigan · Home9 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −3.22 |
| M27 | Burton · Home13 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.53 |
| M28 | Ipswich · Away16 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −4.40 |
| M29 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away20 Feb 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.88 | −5.29 |
| M30 | Rochdale · Home23 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.62 | −5.90 |
| M31 | Swindon · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | −7.29 |
| M32 | Plymouth · Home2 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −5.66 |
| M33 | Portsmouth · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +2.00 | −3.66 |
| M34 | Charlton · Away9 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −4.65 |
| M35 | Doncaster · Away13 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.07 | −4.72 |
| M36 | Crewe · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.17 | −5.89 |
| M37 | Oxford · Home23 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.91 | −3.99 |
| M38 | AFC Wimbledon · Away27 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −5.29 |
| M39 | Shrewsbury · Home2 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −3.60 |
| M40 | Hull · Away5 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.64 | −4.25 |
| M41 | Bristol Rovers · Home10 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −4.53 |
| M42 | Peterborough · Away16 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −5.16 |
| M43 | Ipswich · Home20 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.79 | −3.37 |
| M44 | Gillingham · Away24 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −3.46 |
| M45 | Blackpool · Home1 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −4.57 |
| M46 | Sunderland · Away9 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.37 | −4.20 |
| Total | 45 | −4.20 | |||