Points
74Points expected by the market
70.05Gap
+3.95Yield
−3.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 20 | 49 | +12.90 | +43.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 21 | 23 | −5.96 | −26.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 31 | +6.98 | +33.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.71 | −27.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 18 | +5.92 | +63.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −4.26 | −25.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 2 | −2.98 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lincoln · Away12 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | −1.45 |
| M2 | Sunderland · Home19 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −2.64 |
| M3 | Accrington · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −1.04 |
| M4 | Gillingham · Away10 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.50 | −2.54 |
| M5 | Peterborough · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.57 |
| M6 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home20 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | −1.99 |
| M7 | Charlton · Away27 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −3.39 |
| M8 | Fleetwood Town · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −4.64 |
| M9 | Rochdale · Home3 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.14 | −3.50 |
| M10 | Crewe · Home17 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.48 | −4.98 |
| M11 | Wigan · Away21 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −3.69 |
| M12 | Portsmouth · Away24 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −3.71 |
| M13 | Swindon · Home28 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −5.38 |
| M14 | Ipswich · Home1 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −6.02 |
| M15 | Hull · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.18 | −6.20 |
| M16 | Blackpool · Away12 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.08 | −6.28 |
| M17 | Northampton · Home15 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −5.29 |
| M18 | AFC Wimbledon · Home26 Dec 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | −4.20 |
| M19 | Plymouth · Away29 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.73 | −2.47 |
| M20 | Burton · Away2 Jan 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −1.11 |
| M21 | Bristol Rovers · Home23 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +0.03 |
| M22 | Rochdale · Away26 Jan 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.25 |
| M23 | Fleetwood Town · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.46 | +2.72 |
| M24 | Doncaster · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | +1.31 |
| M25 | Bristol Rovers · Away9 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.49 |
| M26 | Wigan · Home14 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +3.56 |
| M27 | Ipswich · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.44 | +3.12 |
| M28 | Portsmouth · Home23 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | +1.82 |
| M29 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.38 | +1.43 |
| M30 | Peterborough · Home2 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.31 | +1.12 |
| M31 | Charlton · Home6 Mar 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.43 | +0.69 |
| M32 | Swindon · Away9 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | +1.99 |
| M33 | Hull · Away13 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.94 | +1.04 |
| M34 | Doncaster · Home16 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +2.36 |
| M35 | Blackpool · Home20 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.45 | +0.91 |
| M36 | Northampton · Away23 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −0.69 |
| M37 | Lincoln · Home26 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.59 | +0.90 |
| M38 | Sunderland · Away2 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.01 |
| M39 | Accrington · Home5 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.81 | −1.82 |
| M40 | Crewe · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.74 | −0.08 |
| M41 | Shrewsbury · Home13 Apr 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +1.17 |
| M42 | Gillingham · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.24 | +2.41 |
| M43 | AFC Wimbledon · Away20 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.50 | +0.91 |
| M44 | Plymouth · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.93 | +1.84 |
| M45 | Shrewsbury · Away1 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.17 | +3.01 |
| M46 | Burton · Home9 May 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.94 | +3.95 |
| Total | 74 | +3.95 | |||