← League One 2020-21

Plymouth

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5DLLLL

Points

Points expected by the market

56.46

Gap

−3.46

Yield

−18.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	17	15.09	+1.91	+8.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	21	30	26.76	+3.24	+8.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	16	6	14.61	−8.61	−68.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	16	13.45	+2.55	+22.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	21	15.51	+5.49	+42.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	0	2.39	−2.39	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	1	1.64	−0.64	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	9	11.25	−2.25	−37.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	13	6	12.22	−6.22	−60.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Blackpool · Home12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	W 1-0	2.79	1.29	3	+1.71	+1.71	+€1.79
M2	AFC Wimbledon · Away19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	D 4-4	2.66	1.34	1	−0.34	+1.37	−€1.00
M3	Shrewsbury · Home26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	D 1-1	2.43	1.44	1	−0.44	+0.93	−€1.00
M4	Hull · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	L 0-1	3.94	0.97	0	−0.97	−0.03	−€1.00
M5	Burton · Home10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	W 2-0	1.96	1.69	3	+1.31	+1.28	+€0.96
M6	Northampton · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	W 2-1	1.74	1.86	3	+1.14	+2.42	+€0.74
M7	Lincoln · Away20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	L 0-2	3.50	1.08	0	−1.08	+1.34	−€1.00
M8	Wigan · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	D 1-1	2.93	1.24	1	−0.24	+1.10	−€1.00
M9	Doncaster · Home27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	W 2-1	3.17	1.16	3	+1.84	+2.94	+€2.17
M10	Swindon · Home3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	W 4-2	2.00	1.66	3	+1.34	+4.27	+€1.00
M11	Portsmouth · Home16 Nov 2020	16 Nov 2020	D 2-2	3.32	1.11	1	−0.11	+4.16	−€1.00
M12	Fleetwood Town · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	L 1-5	3.10	1.18	0	−1.18	+2.98	−€1.00
M13	Peterborough · Away24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	L 0-1	3.82	0.98	0	−0.98	+2.00	−€1.00
M14	Rochdale · Home1 Dec 2020	1 Dec 2020	L 0-4	1.95	1.69	0	−1.69	+0.30	−€1.00
M15	Ipswich · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	L 1-2	2.23	1.54	0	−1.54	−1.24	−€1.00
M16	Bristol Rovers · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	L 0-3	2.68	1.33	0	−1.33	−2.57	−€1.00
M17	Crewe · Away15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	L 1-2	4.31	0.88	0	−0.88	−3.45	−€1.00
M18	Milton Keynes Dons · Home19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	W 1-0	2.92	1.22	3	+1.78	−1.67	+€1.92
M19	Charlton · Away26 Dec 2020	26 Dec 2020	D 2-2	3.50	1.05	1	−0.05	−1.73	−€1.00
M20	Oxford · Home29 Dec 2020	29 Dec 2020	L 2-3	2.39	1.45	0	−1.45	−3.18	−€1.00
M21	Gillingham · Home2 Jan 2021	2 Jan 2021	W 1-0	1.97	1.69	3	+1.31	−1.87	+€0.97
M22	Crewe · Home16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	D 1-1	3.02	1.19	1	−0.19	−2.06	−€1.00
M23	Sunderland · Away19 Jan 2021	19 Jan 2021	W 2-1	5.11	0.81	3	+2.19	+0.13	+€4.11
M24	Swindon · Away26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	W 2-0	2.40	1.43	3	+1.57	+1.70	+€1.40
M25	Accrington · Home30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	D 2-2	2.18	1.55	1	−0.55	+1.15	−€1.00
M26	Portsmouth · Away6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	D 2-2	4.26	0.92	1	+0.08	+1.23	−€1.00
M27	Accrington · Away9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	W 1-0	3.27	1.12	3	+1.88	+3.11	+€2.27
M28	Fleetwood Town · Home13 Feb 2021	13 Feb 2021	W 1-0	2.63	1.35	3	+1.65	+4.76	+€1.63
M29	Rochdale · Away20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	D 0-0	2.05	1.64	1	−0.64	+4.12	−€1.00
M30	Peterborough · Home23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	L 0-3	3.22	1.15	0	−1.15	+2.97	−€1.00
M31	Lincoln · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	W 4-3	3.27	1.13	3	+1.87	+4.85	+€2.27
M32	Northampton · Away2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	L 0-2	2.65	1.34	0	−1.34	+3.50	−€1.00
M33	Doncaster · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	L 1-2	4.07	0.95	0	−0.95	+2.56	−€1.00
M34	Wigan · Home9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	L 0-2	1.95	1.70	0	−1.70	+0.85	−€1.00
M35	Ipswich · Away13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	L 0-1	3.62	1.06	0	−1.06	−0.20	−€1.00
M36	Milton Keynes Dons · Away16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	L 1-2	3.93	0.97	0	−0.97	−1.17	−€1.00
M37	Bristol Rovers · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	W 2-0	2.32	1.48	3	+1.52	+0.36	+€1.32
M38	Blackpool · Away27 Mar 2021	27 Mar 2021	D 2-2	4.54	0.87	1	+0.13	+0.48	−€1.00
M39	AFC Wimbledon · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	W 1-0	2.13	1.60	3	+1.40	+1.88	+€1.13
M40	Shrewsbury · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	L 0-3	3.19	1.19	0	−1.19	+0.70	−€1.00
M41	Hull · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	L 0-3	5.30	0.76	0	−0.76	−0.07	−€1.00
M42	Burton · Away17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	D 1-1	3.47	1.08	1	−0.08	−0.15	−€1.00
M43	Charlton · Home20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	L 0-6	4.13	0.94	0	−0.94	−1.09	−€1.00
M44	Oxford · Away24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	L 1-3	5.83	0.71	0	−0.71	−1.79	−€1.00
M45	Sunderland · Home1 May 2021	1 May 2021	L 1-3	6.12	0.69	0	−0.69	−2.48	−€1.00
M46	Gillingham · Away9 May 2021	9 May 2021	L 0-1	3.85	0.98	0	−0.98	−3.46	−€1.00
Total					56.46	53	−3.46		−€8.32