← League One 2020-21

Portsmouth

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5LWDWL

Points

Points expected by the market

78.00

Gap

−6.00

Yield

−5.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	6	4.40	+1.60	+41.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	30	44	53.97	−9.97	−25.2%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	19	17.51	+1.49	+22.3%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	3	2.12	+0.88	+86.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	6	4.40	+1.60	+41.5%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	18	26	33.08	−7.08	−30.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	0	4.47	−4.47	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	12	18	20.89	−2.89	−18.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	9	19	13.04	+5.96	+63.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	2	3	2.12	+0.88	+86.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Shrewsbury · Home12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	D 0-0	1.81	1.83	1	−0.83	−0.83	−€1.00
M2	Rochdale · Away20 Sep 2020	20 Sep 2020	D 0-0	1.69	1.92	1	−0.92	−1.75	−€1.00
M3	Wigan · Home26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	L 1-2	1.61	1.99	0	−1.99	−3.74	−€1.00
M4	Burton · Away3 Oct 2020	3 Oct 2020	W 4-2	1.94	1.72	3	+1.28	−2.46	+€0.94
M5	Milton Keynes Dons · Home10 Oct 2020	10 Oct 2020	W 2-1	1.64	1.96	3	+1.04	−1.42	+€0.64
M6	Doncaster · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	L 0-1	2.03	1.66	0	−1.66	−3.08	−€1.00
M7	Gillingham · Away20 Oct 2020	20 Oct 2020	W 2-0	1.76	1.86	3	+1.14	−1.94	+€0.76
M8	Sunderland · Away24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	W 3-1	3.72	1.06	3	+1.94	0.00	+€2.72
M9	Northampton · Home27 Oct 2020	27 Oct 2020	W 4-0	1.38	2.24	3	+0.76	+0.76	+€0.38
M10	Charlton · Home31 Oct 2020	31 Oct 2020	L 0-2	1.73	1.88	0	−1.88	−1.12	−€1.00
M11	Lincoln · Away3 Nov 2020	3 Nov 2020	W 3-1	2.33	1.49	3	+1.51	+0.39	+€1.33
M12	Plymouth · Away16 Nov 2020	16 Nov 2020	D 2-2	2.05	1.63	1	−0.63	−0.24	−€1.00
M13	Crewe · Home21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	W 4-1	2.14	1.59	3	+1.41	+1.17	+€1.14
M14	Oxford · Home24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	D 1-1	1.95	1.71	1	−0.71	+0.46	−€1.00
M15	Blackpool · Away1 Dec 2020	1 Dec 2020	L 0-1	2.51	1.42	0	−1.42	−0.96	−€1.00
M16	Peterborough · Home5 Dec 2020	5 Dec 2020	W 2-0	2.04	1.65	3	+1.35	+0.39	+€1.04
M17	Ipswich · Away12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	W 2-0	2.01	1.68	3	+1.32	+1.71	+€1.01
M18	Fleetwood Town · Home15 Dec 2020	15 Dec 2020	D 0-0	1.83	1.81	1	−0.81	+0.90	−€1.00
M19	Hull · Away18 Dec 2020	18 Dec 2020	W 2-0	2.67	1.34	3	+1.66	+2.56	+€1.67
M20	Fleetwood Town · Away16 Jan 2021	16 Jan 2021	W 1-0	2.24	1.55	3	+1.45	+4.01	+€1.24
M21	AFC Wimbledon · Home19 Jan 2021	19 Jan 2021	W 4-0	1.53	2.08	3	+0.92	+4.94	+€0.53
M22	Hull · Home23 Jan 2021	23 Jan 2021	L 0-4	2.40	1.47	0	−1.47	+3.47	−€1.00
M23	Lincoln · Home26 Jan 2021	26 Jan 2021	L 0-1	2.21	1.56	0	−1.56	+1.91	−€1.00
M24	Charlton · Away2 Feb 2021	2 Feb 2021	W 3-1	2.52	1.41	3	+1.59	+3.50	+€1.52
M25	Plymouth · Home6 Feb 2021	6 Feb 2021	D 2-2	1.79	1.83	1	−0.83	+2.67	−€1.00
M26	Swindon · Home9 Feb 2021	9 Feb 2021	W 2-0	1.45	2.16	3	+0.84	+3.51	+€0.45
M27	Bristol Rovers · Away16 Feb 2021	16 Feb 2021	L 1-3	1.72	1.88	0	−1.88	+1.63	−€1.00
M28	Blackpool · Home20 Feb 2021	20 Feb 2021	L 0-1	2.01	1.67	0	−1.67	−0.04	−€1.00
M29	Oxford · Away23 Feb 2021	23 Feb 2021	W 1-0	2.50	1.41	3	+1.59	+1.55	+€1.50
M30	Gillingham · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	D 1-1	1.69	1.92	1	−0.92	+0.62	−€1.00
M31	Doncaster · Away2 Mar 2021	2 Mar 2021	L 1-2	2.45	1.44	0	−1.44	−0.81	−€1.00
M32	Northampton · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	L 1-4	1.96	1.72	0	−1.72	−2.53	−€1.00
M33	Sunderland · Home9 Mar 2021	9 Mar 2021	L 0-2	2.45	1.44	0	−1.44	−3.97	−€1.00
M34	Peterborough · Away16 Mar 2021	16 Mar 2021	L 0-1	3.63	1.07	0	−1.07	−5.04	−€1.00
M35	Ipswich · Home20 Mar 2021	20 Mar 2021	W 2-1	2.08	1.65	3	+1.35	−3.68	+€1.08
M36	Shrewsbury · Away27 Mar 2021	27 Mar 2021	W 2-1	2.17	1.60	3	+1.40	−2.28	+€1.17
M37	Rochdale · Home2 Apr 2021	2 Apr 2021	W 2-1	1.62	1.99	3	+1.01	−1.27	+€0.62
M38	Wigan · Away5 Apr 2021	5 Apr 2021	W 1-0	1.96	1.71	3	+1.29	+0.01	+€0.96
M39	Burton · Home10 Apr 2021	10 Apr 2021	L 1-2	1.90	1.77	0	−1.77	−1.75	−€1.00
M40	Crewe · Away13 Apr 2021	13 Apr 2021	D 0-0	2.23	1.54	1	−0.54	−2.30	−€1.00
M41	Milton Keynes Dons · Away17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	L 0-1	2.15	1.59	0	−1.59	−3.89	−€1.00
M42	Swindon · Away20 Apr 2021	20 Apr 2021	L 1-3	1.68	1.92	0	−1.92	−5.82	−€1.00
M43	Bristol Rovers · Home24 Apr 2021	24 Apr 2021	W 1-0	1.55	2.05	3	+0.95	−4.87	+€0.55
M44	Accrington · Away27 Apr 2021	27 Apr 2021	D 3-3	2.03	1.65	1	−0.65	−5.52	−€1.00
M45	AFC Wimbledon · Away1 May 2021	1 May 2021	W 3-1	2.42	1.45	3	+1.55	−3.97	+€1.42
M46	Accrington · Home9 May 2021	9 May 2021	L 0-1	1.56	2.03	0	−2.03	−6.00	−€1.00
Total					78.00	72	−6.00		−€2.33