Points
54Points expected by the market
57.67Gap
−3.67Yield
−9.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 5 | −3.29 | −57.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 27 | 33 | −3.20 | −16.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 16 | +2.82 | +21.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 2 | −4.69 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 17 | −2.48 | −20.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | −0.94 | −29.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.40 | +115.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −0.72 | −11.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 12 | +3.76 | +49.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Portsmouth · Away12 Sep 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.11 |
| M2 | Northampton · Home19 Sep 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.75 | −1.64 |
| M3 | Plymouth · Away26 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | −1.92 |
| M4 | Gillingham · Home3 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −2.49 |
| M5 | AFC Wimbledon · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.87 |
| M6 | Bristol Rovers · Home20 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −2.35 |
| M7 | Rochdale · Home24 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −4.04 |
| M8 | Fleetwood Town · Away27 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | −5.20 |
| M9 | Peterborough · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.81 | −6.01 |
| M10 | Burton · Home3 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −6.51 |
| M11 | Swindon · Home14 Nov 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.57 | −7.08 |
| M12 | Ipswich · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −8.20 |
| M13 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away24 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.03 | −8.23 |
| M14 | Accrington · Home2 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.36 | −8.59 |
| M15 | Charlton · Home5 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.29 | −8.89 |
| M16 | Hull · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.22 | −6.67 |
| M17 | Lincoln · Away15 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −4.72 |
| M18 | Doncaster · Away22 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −2.83 |
| M19 | Wigan · Away26 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −3.38 |
| M20 | Blackpool · Home29 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.75 | −1.63 |
| M21 | Sunderland · Away23 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.85 | −2.47 |
| M22 | Peterborough · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.78 | −0.69 |
| M23 | Crewe · Home2 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.03 |
| M24 | Swindon · Away6 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −0.63 |
| M25 | Sunderland · Home9 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +1.27 |
| M26 | Accrington · Away20 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +1.04 |
| M27 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home23 Feb 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.71 |
| M28 | Bristol Rovers · Away27 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +1.24 |
| M29 | AFC Wimbledon · Home2 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | +0.55 |
| M30 | Fleetwood Town · Home6 Mar 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −0.80 |
| M31 | Rochdale · Away9 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | +0.65 |
| M32 | Charlton · Away13 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.04 | +0.69 |
| M33 | Hull · Home20 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.10 | +0.79 |
| M34 | Burton · Away23 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.83 | +2.62 |
| M35 | Portsmouth · Home27 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +1.52 |
| M36 | Northampton · Away2 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.36 | +0.16 |
| M37 | Plymouth · Home5 Apr 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +1.66 |
| M38 | Gillingham · Away10 Apr 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | +1.49 |
| M39 | Oxford · Away13 Apr 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.96 | +0.53 |
| M40 | Doncaster · Home17 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −1.02 |
| M41 | Wigan · Home20 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | −2.37 |
| M42 | Blackpool · Away24 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −0.29 |
| M43 | Lincoln · Home27 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −1.23 |
| M44 | Oxford · Home1 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.13 |
| M45 | Ipswich · Home4 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −2.51 |
| M46 | Crewe · Away9 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.16 | −3.67 |
| Total | 54 | −3.67 | |||