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← League One 2020-21

Swindon

Season 2020-21 · 46 matches played

Last 5LWLLW

Points

43

Points expected by the market

49.35

Gap

−6.35

Yield

−3.1%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40M45

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 0 — — — —
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches 1 3 1.70 +1.30 +96.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 19 14 24.13 −10.13 −48.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more 26 26 23.51 +2.49 +26.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Rochdale · Home12 Sep 2020 12 Sep 2020 W 3-1 1.96 1.70 3 +1.30 +1.30 +€0.96
M2 Blackpool · Away19 Sep 2020 19 Sep 2020 L 0-2 3.53 1.08 0 −1.08 +0.21 −€1.00
M3 Burton · Home26 Sep 2020 26 Sep 2020 W 4-2 2.22 1.54 3 +1.46 +1.67 +€1.22
M4 Peterborough · Away3 Oct 2020 3 Oct 2020 L 1-3 4.11 0.94 0 −0.94 +0.73 −€1.00
M5 AFC Wimbledon · Home10 Oct 2020 10 Oct 2020 L 0-1 2.27 1.52 0 −1.52 −0.79 −€1.00
M6 Sunderland · Home17 Oct 2020 17 Oct 2020 L 0-2 4.48 0.89 0 −0.89 −1.68 −€1.00
M7 Northampton · Away20 Oct 2020 20 Oct 2020 L 1-2 2.31 1.51 0 −1.51 −3.19 −€1.00
M8 Hull · Home31 Oct 2020 31 Oct 2020 W 2-1 3.66 1.03 3 +1.97 −1.22 +€2.66
M9 Plymouth · Away3 Nov 2020 3 Nov 2020 L 2-4 3.42 1.08 0 −1.08 −2.30 −€1.00
M10 Shrewsbury · Away14 Nov 2020 14 Nov 2020 D 3-3 3.28 1.14 1 −0.14 −2.44 −€1.00
M11 Accrington · Home17 Nov 2020 17 Nov 2020 L 0-3 2.43 1.44 0 −1.44 −3.88 −€1.00
M12 Bristol Rovers · Home21 Nov 2020 21 Nov 2020 W 1-0 2.29 1.51 3 +1.49 −2.39 +€1.29
M13 Lincoln · Home24 Nov 2020 24 Nov 2020 L 0-1 3.72 1.03 0 −1.03 −3.42 −€1.00
M14 Oxford · Away28 Nov 2020 28 Nov 2020 W 2-1 3.55 1.06 3 +1.94 −1.48 +€2.55
M15 Crewe · Away1 Dec 2020 1 Dec 2020 L 2-4 4.00 0.96 0 −0.96 −2.44 −€1.00
M16 Gillingham · Away5 Dec 2020 5 Dec 2020 L 0-2 3.24 1.14 0 −1.14 −3.58 −€1.00
M17 Fleetwood Town · Home12 Dec 2020 12 Dec 2020 L 0-1 3.71 1.03 0 −1.03 −4.61 −€1.00
M18 Doncaster · Away15 Dec 2020 15 Dec 2020 L 1-2 4.98 0.80 0 −0.80 −5.42 −€1.00
M19 Charlton · Home19 Dec 2020 19 Dec 2020 D 2-2 3.33 1.12 1 −0.12 −5.54 −€1.00
M20 Milton Keynes Dons · Home29 Dec 2020 29 Dec 2020 L 1-4 3.36 1.13 0 −1.13 −6.67 −€1.00
M21 Ipswich · Away9 Jan 2021 9 Jan 2021 W 3-2 3.59 1.06 3 +1.94 −4.73 +€2.59
M22 Doncaster · Home16 Jan 2021 16 Jan 2021 L 1-2 2.94 1.24 0 −1.24 −5.97 −€1.00
M23 Charlton · Away23 Jan 2021 23 Jan 2021 D 2-2 4.42 0.88 1 +0.12 −5.85 −€1.00
M24 Plymouth · Home26 Jan 2021 26 Jan 2021 L 0-2 2.70 1.30 0 −1.30 −7.16 −€1.00
M25 Hull · Away30 Jan 2021 30 Jan 2021 L 0-1 6.98 0.61 0 −0.61 −7.77 −€1.00
M26 Wigan · Home2 Feb 2021 2 Feb 2021 W 1-0 2.56 1.39 3 +1.61 −6.16 +€1.56
M27 Shrewsbury · Home6 Feb 2021 6 Feb 2021 L 0-1 3.44 1.11 0 −1.11 −7.27 −€1.00
M28 Portsmouth · Away9 Feb 2021 9 Feb 2021 L 0-2 6.71 0.63 0 −0.63 −7.90 −€1.00
M29 Crewe · Home20 Feb 2021 20 Feb 2021 W 2-1 3.74 1.02 3 +1.98 −5.92 +€2.74
M30 Lincoln · Away23 Feb 2021 23 Feb 2021 D 2-2 6.17 0.69 1 +0.31 −5.61 −€1.00
M31 Northampton · Home27 Feb 2021 27 Feb 2021 W 2-1 2.73 1.32 3 +1.68 −3.93 +€1.73
M32 Sunderland · Away2 Mar 2021 2 Mar 2021 L 0-1 6.25 0.66 0 −0.66 −4.60 −€1.00
M33 Accrington · Away6 Mar 2021 6 Mar 2021 L 1-2 4.46 0.89 0 −0.89 −5.49 −€1.00
M34 Oxford · Home9 Mar 2021 9 Mar 2021 L 1-2 3.75 1.02 0 −1.02 −6.51 −€1.00
M35 Gillingham · Home13 Mar 2021 13 Mar 2021 L 1-3 3.15 1.17 0 −1.17 −7.68 −€1.00
M36 Fleetwood Town · Away20 Mar 2021 20 Mar 2021 W 2-0 5.52 0.77 3 +2.23 −5.45 +€4.52
M37 Bristol Rovers · Away23 Mar 2021 23 Mar 2021 W 1-0 3.58 1.06 3 +1.94 −3.51 +€2.58
M38 Blackpool · Home2 Apr 2021 2 Apr 2021 L 0-2 3.59 1.07 0 −1.07 −4.58 −€1.00
M39 Burton · Away5 Apr 2021 5 Apr 2021 L 1-2 3.40 1.12 0 −1.12 −5.70 −€1.00
M40 Peterborough · Home10 Apr 2021 10 Apr 2021 L 0-3 4.91 0.84 0 −0.84 −6.53 −€1.00
M41 Rochdale · Away13 Apr 2021 13 Apr 2021 L 1-2 3.12 1.20 0 −1.20 −7.73 −€1.00
M42 AFC Wimbledon · Away17 Apr 2021 17 Apr 2021 L 1-4 3.93 0.99 0 −0.99 −8.72 −€1.00
M43 Portsmouth · Home20 Apr 2021 20 Apr 2021 W 3-1 4.82 0.83 3 +2.17 −6.55 +€3.82
M44 Milton Keynes Dons · Away24 Apr 2021 24 Apr 2021 L 0-5 5.32 0.76 0 −0.76 −7.31 −€1.00
M45 Ipswich · Home1 May 2021 1 May 2021 L 1-2 3.27 1.15 0 −1.15 −8.46 −€1.00
M46 Wigan · Away9 May 2021 9 May 2021 W 4-3 4.34 0.89 3 +2.11 −6.35 +€3.34
Total 49.35 43 −6.35 −€1.44