Points
37Points expected by the market
54.75Gap
−17.75Yield
−65.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.29 | −68.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 25 | −3.68 | −35.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 5 | −10.79 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −1.67 | −62.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 11 | −7.42 | −79.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.88 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.62 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.74 | +41.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 3 | −8.91 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Doncaster · Away7 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.74 | +1.74 |
| M2 | Bolton · Home14 Aug 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.47 | +1.27 |
| M3 | Gillingham · Home17 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +0.63 |
| M4 | Sunderland · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | −0.21 |
| M5 | Ipswich · Away28 Aug 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.20 |
| M6 | Oxford · Home4 Sep 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.71 | +1.51 |
| M7 | Morecambe · Away11 Sep 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.04 |
| M8 | Plymouth · Home18 Sep 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | +1.55 |
| M9 | Shrewsbury · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.32 | +0.23 |
| M10 | Rotherham · Away28 Sep 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −0.48 |
| M11 | Burton · Home2 Oct 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −1.00 |
| M12 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home16 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.26 | −1.26 |
| M13 | Lincoln · Away19 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.86 | +0.60 |
| M14 | Wigan · Home23 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −0.50 |
| M15 | Cambridge · Away30 Oct 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.91 |
| M16 | Portsmouth · Away20 Nov 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.91 | −2.82 |
| M17 | Crewe · Home23 Nov 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.23 | −1.60 |
| M18 | Fleetwood Town · Home27 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −2.26 |
| M19 | Accrington · Away7 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −0.57 |
| M20 | Wycombe · Away11 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.06 | −0.51 |
| M21 | Oxford · Away29 Dec 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.38 |
| M22 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away11 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −2.33 |
| M23 | Morecambe · Home15 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.64 | −2.98 |
| M24 | Portsmouth · Home18 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.12 | −3.09 |
| M25 | Burton · Away22 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.07 | −3.16 |
| M26 | Ipswich · Home25 Jan 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −4.21 |
| M27 | Shrewsbury · Home29 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −4.61 |
| M28 | Cheltenham · Home1 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −5.10 |
| M29 | Charlton · Away5 Feb 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −5.95 |
| M30 | Rotherham · Home8 Feb 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.78 | −6.74 |
| M31 | Sunderland · Home12 Feb 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −6.86 |
| M32 | Bolton · Away19 Feb 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.76 | −7.62 |
| M33 | Gillingham · Away22 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −7.85 |
| M34 | Doncaster · Home26 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.94 | −8.80 |
| M35 | Wigan · Away5 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −9.47 |
| M36 | Plymouth · Away8 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −10.27 |
| M37 | Lincoln · Home12 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −11.56 |
| M38 | Cheltenham · Away19 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | −12.59 |
| M39 | Cambridge · Home26 Mar 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −14.12 |
| M40 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away2 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −14.64 |
| M41 | Charlton · Home5 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −14.87 |
| M42 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home9 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −14.88 |
| M43 | Crewe · Away15 Apr 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.62 | −16.50 |
| M44 | Wycombe · Home18 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −16.53 |
| M45 | Fleetwood Town · Away23 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −16.66 |
| M46 | Accrington · Home30 Apr 2022 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.08 | −17.75 |
| Total | 37 | −17.75 | |||