← League One 2021-22

Burton

Season 2021-22 · 46 matches played

Last 5DDWLL

Points

Points expected by the market

57.15

Gap

−4.15

Yield

−15.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	9	21	15.17	+5.83	+32.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	25	26	31.92	−5.92	−12.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	12	6	10.06	−4.06	−55.7%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	8	18	13.58	+4.42	+21.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	14	15.66	−1.66	−0.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	4	2.33	+1.67	+77.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	3	1.59	+1.41	+116.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	13	12	16.26	−4.26	−23.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	9	2	7.73	−5.73	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Shrewsbury · Away7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	W 1-0	3.21	1.18	3	+1.82	+1.82	+€2.21
M2	Ipswich · Home14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	W 2-1	2.79	1.31	3	+1.69	+3.51	+€1.79
M3	Sunderland · Home17 Aug 2021	17 Aug 2021	W 1-0	3.38	1.13	3	+1.87	+5.38	+€2.38
M4	Cambridge · Away21 Aug 2021	21 Aug 2021	L 0-3	2.45	1.45	0	−1.45	+3.93	−€1.00
M5	Cheltenham · Home27 Aug 2021	27 Aug 2021	D 1-1	2.67	1.36	1	−0.36	+3.58	−€1.00
M6	Bolton · Away6 Sep 2021	6 Sep 2021	D 0-0	3.23	1.15	1	−0.15	+3.43	−€1.00
M7	Gillingham · Home11 Sep 2021	11 Sep 2021	D 1-1	2.12	1.61	1	−0.61	+2.82	−€1.00
M8	Crewe · Away18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	L 0-2	2.94	1.25	0	−1.25	+1.56	−€1.00
M9	Lincoln · Home25 Sep 2021	25 Sep 2021	L 1-2	2.51	1.41	0	−1.41	+0.15	−€1.00
M10	Portsmouth · Home28 Sep 2021	28 Sep 2021	W 2-1	3.01	1.24	3	+1.76	+1.92	+€2.01
M11	AFC Wimbledon · Away2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	D 1-1	3.07	1.20	1	−0.20	+1.72	−€1.00
M12	Plymouth · Away9 Oct 2021	9 Oct 2021	L 1-2	3.34	1.12	0	−1.12	+0.60	−€1.00
M13	Morecambe · Home15 Oct 2021	15 Oct 2021	W 3-2	2.19	1.57	3	+1.43	+2.03	+€1.19
M14	Fleetwood Town · Away19 Oct 2021	19 Oct 2021	W 1-0	3.34	1.12	3	+1.88	+3.91	+€2.34
M15	Oxford · Home23 Oct 2021	23 Oct 2021	L 1-3	2.88	1.27	0	−1.27	+2.64	−€1.00
M16	Wigan · Away30 Oct 2021	30 Oct 2021	L 0-2	4.89	0.84	0	−0.84	+1.80	−€1.00
M17	Charlton · Home13 Nov 2021	13 Nov 2021	L 0-1	2.71	1.32	0	−1.32	+0.48	−€1.00
M18	Milton Keynes Dons · Away20 Nov 2021	20 Nov 2021	L 0-1	4.04	0.96	0	−0.96	−0.49	−€1.00
M19	Accrington · Home23 Nov 2021	23 Nov 2021	W 4-0	2.06	1.65	3	+1.35	+0.87	+€1.06
M20	Doncaster · Home27 Nov 2021	27 Nov 2021	W 2-0	1.73	1.89	3	+1.11	+1.97	+€0.73
M21	Wycombe · Away7 Dec 2021	7 Dec 2021	L 1-2	2.98	1.23	0	−1.23	+0.75	−€1.00
M22	Rotherham · Away11 Dec 2021	11 Dec 2021	L 1-3	6.73	0.63	0	−0.63	+0.12	−€1.00
M23	Crewe · Home1 Jan 2022	1 Jan 2022	W 4-1	1.86	1.78	3	+1.22	+1.33	+€0.86
M24	Cheltenham · Away8 Jan 2022	8 Jan 2022	D 1-1	2.67	1.35	1	−0.35	+0.98	−€1.00
M25	Gillingham · Away15 Jan 2022	15 Jan 2022	W 3-1	2.16	1.59	3	+1.41	+2.40	+€1.16
M26	AFC Wimbledon · Home22 Jan 2022	22 Jan 2022	D 1-1	2.03	1.66	1	−0.66	+1.74	−€1.00
M27	Milton Keynes Dons · Home25 Jan 2022	25 Jan 2022	L 0-1	2.43	1.44	0	−1.44	+0.30	−€1.00
M28	Lincoln · Away29 Jan 2022	29 Jan 2022	W 2-1	3.37	1.12	3	+1.88	+2.18	+€2.37
M29	Sheffield Wednesday · Home5 Feb 2022	5 Feb 2022	L 0-2	3.23	1.15	0	−1.15	+1.03	−€1.00
M30	Portsmouth · Away8 Feb 2022	8 Feb 2022	L 1-2	3.77	1.03	0	−1.03	0.00	−€1.00
M31	Cambridge · Home12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	D 2-2	2.09	1.63	1	−0.63	−0.64	−€1.00
M32	Bolton · Home15 Feb 2022	15 Feb 2022	W 3-1	2.72	1.33	3	+1.67	+1.03	+€1.72
M33	Ipswich · Away19 Feb 2022	19 Feb 2022	L 0-3	4.83	0.86	0	−0.86	+0.17	−€1.00
M34	Sunderland · Away22 Feb 2022	22 Feb 2022	D 1-1	4.46	0.88	1	+0.12	+0.29	−€1.00
M35	Shrewsbury · Home26 Feb 2022	26 Feb 2022	L 0-2	2.28	1.54	0	−1.54	−1.26	−€1.00
M36	Sheffield Wednesday · Away1 Mar 2022	1 Mar 2022	L 2-5	5.40	0.77	0	−0.77	−2.03	−€1.00
M37	Oxford · Away5 Mar 2022	5 Mar 2022	L 1-4	4.92	0.80	0	−0.80	−2.83	−€1.00
M38	Fleetwood Town · Home12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	W 3-2	1.88	1.78	3	+1.22	−1.60	+€0.88
M39	Charlton · Away19 Mar 2022	19 Mar 2022	L 0-2	3.49	1.09	0	−1.09	−2.70	−€1.00
M40	Morecambe · Away2 Apr 2022	2 Apr 2022	L 0-3	2.33	1.49	0	−1.49	−4.19	−€1.00
M41	Plymouth · Home9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	D 0-0	3.19	1.16	1	−0.16	−4.34	−€1.00
M42	Wigan · Home12 Apr 2022	12 Apr 2022	D 0-0	5.54	0.75	1	+0.25	−4.10	−€1.00
M43	Accrington · Away15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	D 0-0	4.01	0.95	1	+0.05	−4.05	−€1.00
M44	Rotherham · Home19 Apr 2022	19 Apr 2022	W 2-0	5.32	0.77	3	+2.23	−1.82	+€4.32
M45	Doncaster · Away23 Apr 2022	23 Apr 2022	L 0-2	2.27	1.52	0	−1.52	−3.34	−€1.00
M46	Wycombe · Home30 Apr 2022	30 Apr 2022	L 1-2	4.87	0.81	0	−0.81	−4.15	−€1.00
Total					57.15	53	−4.15		−€6.98