Points
59Points expected by the market
65.51Gap
−6.51Yield
−4.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 28 | −0.46 | +1.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 22 | 21 | −8.84 | −43.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 10 | +2.79 | +92.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 21 | −0.35 | +4.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 12 | −1.81 | −29.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.01 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 7 | −0.11 | −8.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 9 | −7.03 | −54.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 9 | +2.80 | +119.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home7 Aug 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.42 |
| M2 | Oxford · Away14 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −1.65 |
| M3 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away17 Aug 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.34 | −2.99 |
| M4 | Wigan · Home21 Aug 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.43 | −4.42 |
| M5 | Crewe · Home28 Aug 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | −3.17 |
| M6 | Cheltenham · Home11 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.68 | −4.86 |
| M7 | Wycombe · Away18 Sep 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.84 |
| M8 | Gillingham · Away21 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −6.34 |
| M9 | Portsmouth · Home25 Sep 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | −6.67 |
| M10 | Bolton · Home28 Sep 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.24 | −7.91 |
| M11 | Fleetwood Town · Away2 Oct 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −6.18 |
| M12 | Lincoln · Away16 Oct 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −7.43 |
| M13 | Accrington · Home19 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.73 | −9.17 |
| M14 | Sunderland · Away23 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.26 | −6.90 |
| M15 | Doncaster · Home30 Oct 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −5.77 |
| M16 | Rotherham · Home2 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −5.78 |
| M17 | Burton · Away13 Nov 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −4.17 |
| M18 | Plymouth · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | −2.68 |
| M19 | Morecambe · Away23 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.75 | −3.43 |
| M20 | Shrewsbury · Away27 Nov 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.52 | −4.95 |
| M21 | Ipswich · Home7 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.55 | −3.40 |
| M22 | Cambridge · Home11 Dec 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.99 | −2.41 |
| M23 | Plymouth · Away18 Dec 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.64 |
| M24 | Wycombe · Home1 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −5.21 |
| M25 | Crewe · Away12 Jan 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −6.94 |
| M26 | Cheltenham · Away15 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −7.40 |
| M27 | Fleetwood Town · Home22 Jan 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −6.30 |
| M28 | Portsmouth · Away31 Jan 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | −4.36 |
| M29 | AFC Wimbledon · Home5 Feb 2022 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.12 | −3.24 |
| M30 | Bolton · Away8 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −4.41 |
| M31 | Wigan · Away12 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −5.39 |
| M32 | Oxford · Home19 Feb 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.38 | −6.78 |
| M33 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home22 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −8.10 |
| M34 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away26 Feb 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −8.93 |
| M35 | Sunderland · Home5 Mar 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −9.15 |
| M36 | Accrington · Away12 Mar 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −10.35 |
| M37 | Gillingham · Home15 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −9.21 |
| M38 | Burton · Home19 Mar 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | −7.84 |
| M39 | Doncaster · Away26 Mar 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.26 | −6.58 |
| M40 | Lincoln · Home2 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.65 | −8.23 |
| M41 | AFC Wimbledon · Away5 Apr 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −8.70 |
| M42 | Rotherham · Away9 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.31 | −6.38 |
| M43 | Morecambe · Home15 Apr 2022 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.81 | −8.20 |
| M44 | Cambridge · Away19 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −7.08 |
| M45 | Shrewsbury · Home23 Apr 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −5.58 |
| M46 | Ipswich · Away30 Apr 2022 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.93 | −6.51 |
| Total | 59 | −6.51 | |||