Points
56Points expected by the market
57.22Gap
−1.22Yield
−28.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 11 | −1.27 | −19.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 26 | 37 | +2.74 | −9.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 8 | −2.69 | −70.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | −0.61 | −6.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 26 | +5.68 | +23.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.82 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.67 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 11 | −2.94 | −54.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 7 | −1.87 | −65.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crewe · Away7 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.15 |
| M2 | Wycombe · Home14 Aug 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.58 |
| M3 | Ipswich · Home17 Aug 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.04 |
| M4 | Fleetwood Town · Away21 Aug 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.29 |
| M5 | Burton · Away27 Aug 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −1.63 |
| M6 | Milton Keynes Dons · Home4 Sep 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.54 | −2.17 |
| M7 | Charlton · Away11 Sep 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | −0.20 |
| M8 | Oxford · Home18 Sep 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.48 |
| M9 | Wigan · Away25 Sep 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +0.63 |
| M10 | Sunderland · Away28 Sep 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.73 | −0.10 |
| M11 | Rotherham · Home2 Oct 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −0.89 |
| M12 | Accrington · Home16 Oct 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +0.59 |
| M13 | Morecambe · Home19 Oct 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.34 | +1.93 |
| M14 | Doncaster · Away23 Oct 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | +0.50 |
| M15 | Sheffield Wednesday · Home30 Oct 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | +0.30 |
| M16 | Portsmouth · Away2 Nov 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +0.43 |
| M17 | Shrewsbury · Home20 Nov 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.99 |
| M18 | Gillingham · Away23 Nov 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +3.49 |
| M19 | Bolton · Away27 Nov 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | +3.40 |
| M20 | Cambridge · Home7 Dec 2021 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.69 | +1.70 |
| M21 | Lincoln · Home11 Dec 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | +1.22 |
| M22 | Shrewsbury · Away18 Dec 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.03 |
| M23 | Plymouth · Home26 Dec 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.17 | −1.14 |
| M24 | Oxford · Away1 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.28 | −0.86 |
| M25 | Burton · Home8 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.36 | −1.22 |
| M26 | Charlton · Home15 Jan 2022 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | −1.47 |
| M27 | Rotherham · Away22 Jan 2022 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −2.07 |
| M28 | Wigan · Home29 Jan 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −2.10 |
| M29 | AFC Wimbledon · Away1 Feb 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.31 |
| M30 | Sunderland · Home8 Feb 2022 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.48 |
| M31 | Fleetwood Town · Home12 Feb 2022 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.97 |
| M32 | Wycombe · Away19 Feb 2022 | D 5-5 | 1 | +0.05 | +1.02 |
| M33 | Ipswich · Away22 Feb 2022 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.27 | +1.29 |
| M34 | Crewe · Home26 Feb 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.94 | −0.65 |
| M35 | Doncaster · Home5 Mar 2022 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +0.30 |
| M36 | Milton Keynes Dons · Away8 Mar 2022 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −0.61 |
| M37 | Morecambe · Away12 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.03 |
| M38 | AFC Wimbledon · Home19 Mar 2022 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.31 | +2.34 |
| M39 | Plymouth · Away22 Mar 2022 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.47 |
| M40 | Sheffield Wednesday · Away26 Mar 2022 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.59 | +0.87 |
| M41 | Accrington · Away2 Apr 2022 | D 4-4 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.76 |
| M42 | Portsmouth · Home9 Apr 2022 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | +2.53 |
| M43 | Gillingham · Home15 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +1.95 |
| M44 | Lincoln · Away18 Apr 2022 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.21 | +0.74 |
| M45 | Bolton · Home23 Apr 2022 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −0.55 |
| M46 | Cambridge · Away30 Apr 2022 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | −1.22 |
| Total | 56 | −1.22 | |||