← League One 2021-22

Crewe

Season 2021-22 · 46 matches played

Last 5LWLDL

Points

Points expected by the market

45.92

Gap

−16.92

Yield

−50.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	4	4.89	−0.89	−33.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	12	15.91	−3.91	−30.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more	31	13	25.12	−12.12	−60.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	4	4.89	−0.89	−33.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	8	8	10.78	−2.78	−30.4%
Underdog 3.50 or more	12	8	10.54	−2.54	−38.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	4	5.12	−1.12	−32.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	19	5	14.59	−9.59	−73.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Cheltenham · Home7 Aug 2021	7 Aug 2021	D 1-1	2.29	1.54	1	−0.54	−0.54	−€1.00
M2	Portsmouth · Away14 Aug 2021	14 Aug 2021	L 0-2	4.39	0.91	0	−0.91	−1.45	−€1.00
M3	Oxford · Away17 Aug 2021	17 Aug 2021	L 0-1	4.81	0.84	0	−0.84	−2.29	−€1.00
M4	Accrington · Home21 Aug 2021	21 Aug 2021	L 0-1	2.47	1.42	0	−1.42	−3.71	−€1.00
M5	Charlton · Away28 Aug 2021	28 Aug 2021	L 0-2	4.01	0.98	0	−0.98	−4.68	−€1.00
M6	Shrewsbury · Away11 Sep 2021	11 Sep 2021	D 1-1	3.15	1.20	1	−0.20	−4.88	−€1.00
M7	Burton · Home18 Sep 2021	18 Sep 2021	W 2-0	2.43	1.46	3	+1.54	−3.33	+€1.43
M8	Morecambe · Home21 Sep 2021	21 Sep 2021	L 1-3	2.09	1.64	0	−1.64	−4.97	−€1.00
M9	Rotherham · Away25 Sep 2021	25 Sep 2021	D 1-1	5.84	0.71	1	+0.29	−4.68	−€1.00
M10	Plymouth · Away28 Sep 2021	28 Sep 2021	D 1-1	4.18	0.93	1	+0.07	−4.61	−€1.00
M11	Cambridge · Home2 Oct 2021	2 Oct 2021	D 2-2	2.33	1.49	1	−0.49	−5.10	−€1.00
M12	Fleetwood Town · Away16 Oct 2021	16 Oct 2021	L 0-3	3.54	1.07	0	−1.07	−6.17	−€1.00
M13	Sunderland · Home19 Oct 2021	19 Oct 2021	L 0-4	4.44	0.89	0	−0.89	−7.06	−€1.00
M14	Wycombe · Away23 Oct 2021	23 Oct 2021	L 1-2	6.39	0.66	0	−0.66	−7.72	−€1.00
M15	Milton Keynes Dons · Home30 Oct 2021	30 Oct 2021	L 1-4	3.39	1.09	0	−1.09	−8.81	−€1.00
M16	Doncaster · Home2 Nov 2021	2 Nov 2021	D 1-1	2.18	1.58	1	−0.58	−9.39	−€1.00
M17	Bolton · Away12 Nov 2021	12 Nov 2021	L 0-2	5.12	0.78	0	−0.78	−10.17	−€1.00
M18	Gillingham · Home20 Nov 2021	20 Nov 2021	W 2-0	2.01	1.67	3	+1.33	−8.84	+€1.01
M19	AFC Wimbledon · Away23 Nov 2021	23 Nov 2021	L 2-3	4.01	0.97	0	−0.97	−9.81	−€1.00
M20	Ipswich · Away28 Nov 2021	28 Nov 2021	L 1-2	8.04	0.55	0	−0.55	−10.35	−€1.00
M21	Lincoln · Home7 Dec 2021	7 Dec 2021	W 2-0	3.14	1.17	3	+1.83	−8.52	+€2.14
M22	Sheffield Wednesday · Home11 Dec 2021	11 Dec 2021	L 0-2	3.82	0.99	0	−0.99	−9.52	−€1.00
M23	Morecambe · Away29 Dec 2021	29 Dec 2021	W 2-1	2.72	1.31	3	+1.69	−7.83	+€1.72
M24	Burton · Away1 Jan 2022	1 Jan 2022	L 1-4	4.08	0.96	0	−0.96	−8.78	−€1.00
M25	Charlton · Home12 Jan 2022	12 Jan 2022	W 2-1	3.82	1.00	3	+2.00	−6.79	+€2.82
M26	Shrewsbury · Home15 Jan 2022	15 Jan 2022	D 0-0	3.50	1.09	1	−0.09	−6.87	−€1.00
M27	Cambridge · Away22 Jan 2022	22 Jan 2022	L 0-1	3.74	1.02	0	−1.02	−7.90	−€1.00
M28	Rotherham · Home29 Jan 2022	29 Jan 2022	L 0-2	6.67	0.64	0	−0.64	−8.53	−€1.00
M29	Gillingham · Away1 Feb 2022	1 Feb 2022	L 0-1	2.69	1.34	0	−1.34	−9.87	−€1.00
M30	Plymouth · Home8 Feb 2022	8 Feb 2022	L 1-4	2.77	1.28	0	−1.28	−11.15	−€1.00
M31	Accrington · Away12 Feb 2022	12 Feb 2022	L 1-4	5.15	0.77	0	−0.77	−11.93	−€1.00
M32	Wigan · Away15 Feb 2022	15 Feb 2022	L 0-2	8.68	0.51	0	−0.51	−12.44	−€1.00
M33	Oxford · Home22 Feb 2022	22 Feb 2022	L 0-1	4.86	0.81	0	−0.81	−13.25	−€1.00
M34	Cheltenham · Away26 Feb 2022	26 Feb 2022	W 2-1	5.00	0.81	3	+2.19	−11.06	+€4.00
M35	Wycombe · Home5 Mar 2022	5 Mar 2022	L 1-3	4.05	0.95	0	−0.95	−12.01	−€1.00
M36	Portsmouth · Home8 Mar 2022	8 Mar 2022	L 1-3	5.11	0.80	0	−0.80	−12.81	−€1.00
M37	Sunderland · Away12 Mar 2022	12 Mar 2022	L 0-2	9.03	0.50	0	−0.50	−13.30	−€1.00
M38	Wigan · Home15 Mar 2022	15 Mar 2022	L 0-2	5.62	0.76	0	−0.76	−14.06	−€1.00
M39	Bolton · Home19 Mar 2022	19 Mar 2022	L 0-1	5.06	0.80	0	−0.80	−14.86	−€1.00
M40	Fleetwood Town · Home2 Apr 2022	2 Apr 2022	L 1-3	2.72	1.33	0	−1.33	−16.20	−€1.00
M41	Milton Keynes Dons · Away5 Apr 2022	5 Apr 2022	L 1-2	10.07	0.47	0	−0.47	−16.67	−€1.00
M42	Doncaster · Away9 Apr 2022	9 Apr 2022	L 0-2	2.88	1.27	0	−1.27	−17.94	−€1.00
M43	AFC Wimbledon · Home15 Apr 2022	15 Apr 2022	W 3-1	3.59	1.08	3	+1.92	−16.03	+€2.59
M44	Sheffield Wednesday · Away19 Apr 2022	19 Apr 2022	L 0-1	13.55	0.35	0	−0.35	−16.38	−€1.00
M45	Ipswich · Home23 Apr 2022	23 Apr 2022	D 1-1	5.78	0.73	1	+0.27	−16.11	−€1.00
M46	Lincoln · Away30 Apr 2022	30 Apr 2022	L 1-2	4.85	0.81	0	−0.81	−16.92	−€1.00
Total					45.92	29	−16.92		−€23.29